Shares in Netflix rise 13.5% sending it to top of S&P 500
US-based streaming service reports more than half of customers signed up outside America
Netflix added 5.2 million subscribers in the second quarter. (Photograph: Reuters)
Shares in US streaming giant Netflix rose 13.5 per cent in US trade yesterday, shooting the stock to the top of the S&P 500 index.
The share price, which has crossed the $180 (€156) threshold, comes following news that more than 100 million people worldwide now subscribe to the streaming service.
The company - which is now valued at $78 billion (€67.6 billion), making it worth almost nine times as much as the UK’s ITV and1.5 times bigger then Rupert Murdoch’s 21st Century Fox - added 5.2 million subscribers in the second quarter.
It was a far bigger number than Wall Street had expected and this is traditionally Netflix’s slowest time of the year: over the past five years it has averaged growth of less than 2 million in the spring months.
Most of the growth - more than 4 million of the new users - came from international subscribers lured by Netflix’s combination of new shows such as The Crown and Stranger Things, while stalwarts House of Cards and Orange is the New Black are continuing to find new audiences.
In the past two decades the company has transformed from a California-based mail order DVD outfit to a global digital giant that has transformed the way the public watch TV.
For founder Reed Hastings, the continued success of the business the soaring number of subscribers is continued proof that his vision of pick-and-mix TV on demand will replace traditional scheduled TV.
“Creating a TV network is now as easy as creating an app, and investment is pouring into content production around the world,” he said in a letter to shareholders on Monday. “We are all co-pioneers of internet TV and, together, we are replacing linear TV.”
Growth is now being fuelled by growth outside its home market. The boom in international growth followed the expansion of the service into 130 countries last year.
Netflix doesn’t provide detailed statistics by country, but Ampere Analysis reckons there are 6.4 million UK subscribers compared with about 5 million for Amazon Prime Video.
Mr Hastings described the growth as a “good quarter” and said it was the result of “our amazing content”.
The firms popularity has pushed it into an elite club of go-go internet stocks, which have been recording breakneck growth.
The “big four” tech and media giants - Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and Google - are valued on Wall Street at more than $1.5 trillion. Netflix has seen its share price rocket 64 per cent over the past year - it is worth almost four times as much as Sky - but it still only ranks as the minnow of the group.
Hastings said the company intends to invest even more in content, even though it is already pouring $6.6 billion into making and acquiring TV shows and films this year. Currently nearly $16 billion is due to be poured into production over the next five years.
So far this huge investment has fuelled a Netflix hit machine. It has doubled its haul of Emmy nominations this year, securing 91 compared with 54 last year, for 27 titles including The Crown, Stranger Things and Master of None.
Only HBO, on which Netflix has based its model, fared better, with 111 nominations. HBO spends about $2 billion annually on content, and Amazon about $4.5 billion, according to unofficial analyst estimates.
Netflix famously refuses to reveal figures on how popular, or not, its shows are. Ampere Analysis has produced a report looking at the most cost-effective shows on Netflix by looking at programme budgets cross-referenced with popularity ratings on IMDB, to give a proxy for probable viewing.
According to that data the most cost-effective shows for Netflix - or the best value in terms of spend versus viewing - were 1980s sci-fi drama Stranger Things, teen suicide drama 13 Reasons Why, Narcos, and Marvel series such as Jessica Jones, Daredevil and Luke Cage. House of Cards and Orange is the New Black also ranked highly.
However, the hit machine also has misses. Recently, Netflix has culled a slew of underperforming shows to better balance viewer interest with climbing programme costs.
Ampere says the least cost-effective shows are led by the $9 million-per-episode Marco Polo, which was cancelled after two seasons and reportedly resulted in a $200 million loss. Another was Baz Luhrmann’s The Get Down, which had a budget of up to $16 million an episode, which was cancelled after one season. Other misses have included high-concept sci-fi series Sense8, Hemlock Grove and Girlboss.
Mr Hastings conceded there is furious competition between Netflix and other subscription on-demand TV services, from digital rivals such as Amazon and Hulu to traditional broadcasters such as Sky and the BBC. But he insisted his company was not killing their businesses.
“It seems our growth just expands the market,” he said. “The largely exclusive nature of each service’s content means that we are not direct substitutes for each other, but rather complements.”
- Copyright Guardian News and Media 2017