Ben Carlson

52 results

A scene from The Big Short (2015)

Michael Burry, the hero of The Big Short movie who became famous for his prescient bets against the US housing bubble, says financial markets are now (...)

The New York Stock Exchange. Last month, major US indices suffered their biggest one-day falls of the year after 10-year bond yields fell below their two-year counterparts for the first time since 2008. Photograph: Johannes Eisele/AFP/Getty Images

Not so long ago, only finance insiders worried about yield curve inversions – an obscure-sounding piece of market jargon denoting when long-term yield(...)

Investing has a lot of the same features as poker, says game theorist Kevin Zollman.

Good poker skills certainly seem to help if you’re a hedge fund manager. A new study, Hedge Fund Hold’em, has found hedge fund managers who do well in(...)

Hedge fund manager Bill Ackman lost hundreds of millions of dollars betting against nutritional supplement company Herbalife. Photographer: Scott Eells/Bloomberg

Legendary investor Bill Gross was the most successful bond manager of his generation but his career ended miserably earlier this year after he made ri(...)

President Donald Trump with China’s president, Xi Jinping, in Beijing for trade talks in 2017. Photograph: Doug Mills/The New York Times

Donald Trump is increasingly betting that stock market strength is the key to him being re-elected next year, according to Bloomberg and CNBC reports (...)

Diversification reduces risk of long-term disappointment, but avoiding short-term pain is another matter entirely. Photograph: iStock

Diversification is often referred to as the only free lunch in finance but it didn’t protect investors from a shellacking in 2018, with almost all maj(...)

Jerome Powell, chairman of the US Federal Reserve. Photograph: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg

The Tina trade – the idea that there is no alternative to stocks in a low-yielding world – has helped support the US bull market over the last nine ye(...)

September 10th, 2008. If a survey by robo-advisory firm Betterment survey is a guide, most people in Ireland have little idea the last decade was a good time to be invested in stocks. Photograph: Jeremy Bales/Bloomberg News

It’s been a miserable year for emerging markets, which fell into a bear market last month, but a turning point may be at hand for a region that looks (...)

“Investing is simple”, as Warren Buffett once quipped, “but not easy”. Photograph: iStock

Stocks have more than quadrupled since the nadir of the global financial crisis in March 2009, but things will be tricker going forward. After all, th(...)

Warren Buffett and Jamie Dimon argue that quarterly earnings guidance “often leads to an unhealthy focus on short-term profits”. Photograph: Donald Bowers/Getty Images

Financial markets have become too focused on the short term, according to celebrated investor Warren Buffett and JP Morgan chief executive Jamie Dimo(...)

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