Six Nations 2019: who needs what to be crowned champions?

Ireland remain in the hunt but Wales or England the look more likely title winners

Warren Gatland’s Wales are in pole position heading into the final weekend. Photograph: Ian Rutherford/PA

Warren Gatland’s Wales are in pole position heading into the final weekend. Photograph: Ian Rutherford/PA

 

The final round of the 2019 Six Nations is almost upon us, and three nations head into the final weekend with hopes of being crowned champions.

Ireland’s win over France on Sunday means their Championship defence is still - just about - alive, although it will require a relative miracle for Joe Schmidt to sign off with a fourth title success.

Wales are currently in the box seat - they have four wins from four and are chasing a first Grand Slam since 2012, but welcome a rejuvenated Ireland to Cardiff on Saturday.

England meanwhile know a victory over Scotland will be enough, providing Schmidt’s men do them a favour and win at the Millennium Stadium.

A thrilling denouement awaits - here is are the permutations which would see Ireland, Wales and England lift the Six Nations title.

Ireland

An opening weekend defeat to England meant Ireland’s hopes of winning the Six Nations were always going to be slim, something compounded by a failure to secure a bonus point away to Scotland. They currently sit in third place on 14 points, meaning an improbable bonus point win away to Wales would leave them on 19. England have 15 points and are likely to beat Scotland with a bonus point - so Ireland’s total of 19 wouldn’t be enough. Should England beat Scotland without a bonus point, they would still be likely to win the tournament ahead of Ireland on points difference - England’s is +83, Ireland’s is +19. If Ireland beat Wales and Scotland beat England, the Championship is almost guaranteed to be Ireland’s.

Joe Schmidt’s Ireland retain a slim chance of defending their Championship title. Photograph: Clodagh Kilcoyne/Reuters
Joe Schmidt’s Ireland retain a slim chance of defending their Championship title. Photograph: Clodagh Kilcoyne/Reuters

Wales

If Wales beat Ireland with a bonus point they finish on 21 points, with a further three bonus points awarded for the Grand Slam leaving them on 24 overall. Victory without a bonus point would see them finish on 20 points - with the Grand Slam bonus then leaving them on 23. Defeat will see Wales miss out on the title - unless they secure two losing bonus points and Scotland beat England, which is unlikely. Wales currently have a superior points difference to Ireland - +31 to +19.

England

England are in a strong position providing Ireland can beat Wales in Cardiff. If they do, a bonus point win over Scotland would guarantee the title, while a win without a bonus point should almost certainly be enough, given Ireland are 64 points worse off on points difference. If Scotland win at Twickenham for the first time since 1983, then the title will go to Ireland or Wales.

The Irish Times Logo
Commenting on The Irish Times has changed. To comment you must now be an Irish Times subscriber.
SUBSCRIBE
GO BACK
Error Image
The account details entered are not currently associated with an Irish Times subscription. Please subscribe to sign in to comment.
Comment Sign In

Forgot password?
The Irish Times Logo
Thank you
You should receive instructions for resetting your password. When you have reset your password, you can Sign In.
The Irish Times Logo
Please choose a screen name. This name will appear beside any comments you post. Your screen name should follow the standards set out in our community standards.
Screen Name Selection

Hello

Please choose a screen name. This name will appear beside any comments you post. Your screen name should follow the standards set out in our community standards.

The Irish Times Logo
Commenting on The Irish Times has changed. To comment you must now be an Irish Times subscriber.
SUBSCRIBE
Forgot Password
Please enter your email address so we can send you a link to reset your password.

Sign In

Your Comments
We reserve the right to remove any content at any time from this Community, including without limitation if it violates the Community Standards. We ask that you report content that you in good faith believe violates the above rules by clicking the Flag link next to the offending comment or by filling out this form. New comments are only accepted for 3 days from the date of publication.