Narrow majority will vote for Nice, poll shows

The campaign to ratify the Nice Treaty is in a worse position now than the comparable period before the first vote on the issue…

The campaign to ratify the Nice Treaty is in a worse position now than the comparable period before the first vote on the issue was lost, according to a new Irish Times/MRBI opinion poll.

The poll, due to be published in full in tomorrow's Irish Timesshows that 37 per cent of the electorate intend to vote for the Nice Treaty while 25 per cent will vote against. The poll finds that some 32 per cent do not know how they will vote and 7 per cent of voters have decided not to vote.

How well do you feel you understand the issues involved in the Nice Treaty?

This gives the Yes campaign a narrower margin of support than in an opinion poll at the start of the June 2001 referendum campaign. In that

Irish Times

/MRBI poll 52 per cent said they would vote Yes, 28 per cent said they would vote No with 27 per cent having no opinion.

The first Nice treaty referendum was lost with 54 per cent voting against with 46 per cent voting in favour. Only 34.8 per cent of the electorate voted on the first referendum.

This evening's poll also highlighted the poor understanding of the issues involved in the Nice Treaty referendum debate. Just 16 per cent of voters claim to have a good understanding of what the treaty is about.

According to the poll, 37 per cent say they understand some but not all of the issues, 26 per cent are only vaguely aware of the issues with 19 per cent saying they do not know what the treaty is about at all. The remaining two per cent expressed no opinion.

The poll was conducted last Monday and Tuesday among a representative sample of 1,000 voters at 100 sampling points throughout all constituencies in the State.

  • Join The Irish Times on WhatsApp and stay up to date

  • Sign up for push alerts to get the best breaking news, analysis and comment delivered directly to your phone

  • Listen to In The News podcast daily for a deep dive on the stories that matter

David Labanyi

David Labanyi

David Labanyi is the Head of Audience with The Irish Times