Nate Silver

Stocktake: Market response to US election result confounds bearish forecasters

Consternation regarding Trump’s victory is understandable, but one point bears repeating: don’t let your politics colour your investment outlook

Republican nominee’s support base extends to people unaffected by trade or immigration

A third of US men with a degree support Donald Trump despite sexist statements

Post-Trump Tapes, will women be more ‘allowed’ call out misogyny as they see it and experience it?

Topic trends on Twitter after polls show Donald Trump would win if only men voted

Net Results: No California tech firm appears on Trump’s top-25 table of employee contributions

Democrat holds slim lead over Republican rival based on average of opinion polls

However, market prices still ‘trounce’ polls and pundits in forecasting events

Much public argument and debate now are reduced to shouted statements

Poll analyst accurately predicted 50 State outcomes in Barack Obama’s win in 2012

Big data, data science and prediction have yet to be successfully applied to tech industry

Clinton has own party nomination wrapped up and is ahead of Trump

We translate jargon so you don’t have to

Political opinion polling is following a similar trajectory to the iconic floor traders

In one of the US’s most Republican states, voters poised to elect an Independent senator

Most US presidents end up as lame ducks. But Barack Obama’s power has waned early, and in November’s midterm elections he will struggle to keep control of the US Senate. One of the key battlegrounds is North Carolina

Quantitative screening techniques have shownit’s time for investors to get nerdy and ditch opinions

South By Southwest Interactive is now much more than a technology festival. The thousands of delegates who come to the heart of Texas are searching for new ideas and perspectives

News groups may become ‘platforms for talent’, but media stars are made, not born

The statistician who correctly forecast each state’s results in last year’s US presidential election shares some of the keys to success

South by Southwest draws the world’s brightest minds to Texas every year for a festival of ideas and culture: here’s what we’ve learned so far