Irishman airlifted out of Wuhan preparing to return home
Ben Kavanagh spent two weeks quarantined in England after he was airlifted out of Chinese city
Ben Kavanagh wearing a mask and gogles in an appearance on RTÉ recently.
“It actually flew by. Two weeks in quarantine – it sounds like a long time but every other night we played poker, there was food – breakfast, lunch and dinner – so it really wasn’t too bad.”
The psychology teacher who had been living and working in Wuhan was among scores of British and Irish citizens holed up in the hospital after being flown from China to the RAF base at Brize Norton in Oxfordshire.
While some chose to “self-isolate”, Mr Kavanagh said he joined the others playing cards and chatting.
He also continued to work by recording his classes on his laptop and sending them to his pupils online.
The hospital stay was less isolating than when he was under lockdown in his Wuhan apartment, he told RTÉ Radio One.
He believes he has been cleared to go home – “Should be, yeah. Hopefully” – where he intends to spend time with family and friends before eventually returning to Wuhan, where he wants to continue to work.
The virus has killed more than 1,000 people and infected over 44,000 in 25 countries so far. The biggest cluster outside China is on a cruise ship quarantined off the Japanese port of Yokohama, with about 3,700 people on board, of whom 175 have tested positive.
There have been no cases in Ireland.
Researchers at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM) have estimated the number of new cases in Wuhan may peak mid and late February.
To estimate the current trajectory of the outbreak in Wuhan and the potential increase in new cases there in the near future, the team used a combination of data including case reports in Wuhan, exported international cases and test results from evacuation flights out of Wuhan.
Adam Kucharski, LSHTM associate professor and a member of the modelling team, said current trends suggest a peak in mid-to-late February, “although there is of course a lot of uncertainty in exactly when this will occur and how big it might be”.
While the predictions for the outbreak peaking in Wuhan implies that the number of new cases will start to decline, it “does not imply that the disease is necessarily under control”, according to Rowland Kao, professor of veterinary epidemiology and data science at the University of Edinburgh.
“If previously unexposed populations become infected, the outbreak could start rising again,” he said.