Election 2020: Why transfers may not be a deciding factor

Political analyst says some 90% of seats will be won on the first count in the vote

Sinn Féin is only running two candidates in four constituencies – Cavan-Monaghan, Donegal, Dublin Mid-West and Louth. Photograph: Getty Images

Sinn Féin is only running two candidates in four constituencies – Cavan-Monaghan, Donegal, Dublin Mid-West and Louth. Photograph: Getty Images

Political anoraks and candidates chasing the last seats in a constituency obsess about vote transfers and how they will affect their chance of election.

Sinn Féin has become the story of this election given the seismic surge in opinion poll support for it through the three-week election campaign. As a result there is growing interest in its record in attracting transfers and where its own transfers tend to go.

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