Dossier details arms capabilities and nuclear aims

BRITAIN: The following is an edited version of the UK dossier on Iraq.

BRITAIN: The following is an edited version of the UK dossier on Iraq.

Executive summary

We judge Iraq has:

1. continued to produce chemical and biological agents

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2. military plans for the use of chemical and biological weapons, including against his own Shia population. Some weapons are deployable within 45 minutes.

3. command and control arrangements in place to use chemical and biological weapons. Authority ultimately resides with Saddam. There is intelligence he may have delegated this responsibility to his son Qusay.

4. developed mobile laboratories for military use

5. pursued illegal programmes to procure controlled materials of potential use in the production of chemical and biological weapons programmes.

6. tried covertly to acquire technology and materials which could be used for nuclear weapons.

7. sought significant quantities of uranium from Africa.

8. recalled specialists to work on its nuclear programme.

9. illegally retained up to 20 al-Hussein missiles with a range of 650km capable of carrying chemical or biological warheads.

10. started deploying its al-Samoud liquid propellant missile and has used the absence of weapons inspectors to work on extending its range to at least 200km, which is beyond the 150km limit imposed by the UN.

11. constructed a new engine test stand for the development of missiles capable of reaching UK bases in Cyprus and NATO members Greece and Turkey as well as Iraq's Gulf neighbours and Israel.

12. pursued illegal programmes to procure materials for use in its illegal development of long range missiles.

13. learnt lessons from previous UN weapons inspections and begun to conceal sensitive equipment and documentation.

Chemical and biological weapons

Recent intelligence from reliable sources confirms the (joint intelligence committee) JIC assessment that Iraq has chemical and biological weapons.

Iraq is already taking steps to prevent UN weapons inspectors finding evidence of its chemical and biological weapons programme. Intelligence indicates Saddam has learned lessons from previous weapons inspections, has identified possible weak points in the inspection process and knows how to exploit them. Intelligence indicates the Iraqi military is able to deploy chemical or biological weapons within 45 minutes of an order to do so.

Biological agents: production capabilities We know from intelligence Iraq has continued to produce biological warfare agents. Iraq is judged to be self-sufficient in the technology required to produce biological weapons.

Nuclear weapons In mid-2001 the JIC assessed that Iraq had continued its nuclear research after 1998. The JIC drew attention to intelligence that Iraq had recalled its nuclear scientists to the programme in 1998. Since 1998 Iraq has been trying to procure items that could be used in the construction of centrifuges for the enrichment of uranium.

Iraqi nuclear expertise

Iraq retains many of experienced nuclear scientists and technicians who are specialised in the production of fissile material and weapons design.

Iraq has made repeated attempts covertly to acquire a very large quantity (60,000 or more) of specialised aluminium tubes. There is intelligence that Iraq has sought the supply of significant quantities of uranium from Africa. We judge that if Iraq obtained fissile material from foreign sources, Iraq could produce a nuclear weapon in between one and two years.

The Iraqi ballistic missile programme since 1998

Since the Gulf war, Iraq has been openly developing two short-range missiles up to a range of 150km, permitted under UN security council resolution 687.

According to intelligence, Iraq has retained up to 20 al-Hussein missiles in breach of resolution 687. They could be used with conventional, chemical or biological warheads and, with a range of up to 650km, are capable of reaching Cyprus, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Iran and Israel.