UAE leaves Opec, deepening oil market uncertainty

Emirate’s departure seen as win for Donald Trump

The UAE's move deals a big blow to Opec. Photograph: Fadel SENNA / AFP via Getty Images
The UAE's move deals a big blow to Opec. Photograph: Fadel SENNA / AFP via Getty Images

The United Arab Emirates said on Tuesday it ‌quit Opec and Opec+, dealing a heavy blow to the oil exporting groups and their de ‌facto leader, Saudi Arabia, at a time when the Iran war has caused a historic energy shock ​and unsettled the global economy.

The stunning loss of the UAE, a long-standing Opec member, could create disarray and weaken the group, which has usually sought to show a united front despite ​internal disagreements over a range of issues from geopolitics to production quotas.

Opec Gulf producers have already ⁠been struggling to ship exports through the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow ‌chokepoint between ‌Iran ​and Oman through which a fifth of the world’s crude oil and liquefied natural gas normally passes, because of Iranian ⁠threats and attacks against ​vessels.

But the UAE exit from Opec represents ​a big win for US president Donald Trump, who has accused the organisation ‌of “ripping off the rest of ​the world” by inflating oil prices.

Trump has also linked US military support ⁠for the Gulf with oil prices, ⁠saying that ​while the US defends Opec members they “exploit this by imposing high oil prices”.

The move came after the UAE, a regional business hub and one of Washington’s most important allies, criticised fellow Arab states for not doing enough to protect it from numerous Iranian attacks during the war.

Anwar Gargash, the diplomatic adviser for the UAE president, criticised the Arab and ‌Gulf response to the ⁠Iranian attacks in a session at the Gulf Influencers Forum on Monday.

“The Gulf Cooperation Council countries supported each other logistically, but politically ‌and militarily, I think their position has been the weakest historically,” Gargash said.

“I expect this weak ​stance from the Arab League and I am ​not surprised by it, but I haven’t expected it from the (Gulf) Cooperation Council and I am surprised by it,” he said. – Reuters

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