Populist parties suffer surprise defeat in Dutch EU elections

Labour Party of EU commissioner Frans Timmermans secures big win, exit polls show

Members of the Labour Party of EU commissioner Frans Timmermans celebrate on Thursday in The Hague after the release of exit polls in the European Parliament elections. Photograph: Koen van Weel/EPA

The Labour Party of EU commissioner Frans Timmermans on Thursday won a surprise victory in the Dutch election for the European Parliament, an exit poll showed, easily beating a Eurosceptic challenger who had been topping the polls.

The leading social democrat candidate to head the EU Commission, Mr Timmermans propelled his pro-European party to an upset win, taking more than 18 per cent of the vote.

The upstart far right Forum for Democracy of nationalist Thierry Baudet, which had been neck-and-neck in polls alongside Dutch prime minister Mark Rutte's conservatives, finished third at 11 per cent, the exit poll showed.

Mr Rutte's People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) came in second at 14 per cent, according to the Ipsos exit poll, which has a margin of error of 2 per cent.

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Labour doubled its 2014 showing and beat opinion polls, most of which showed it finishing third at best.

The Freedom Party of Geert Wilders, another Eurosceptic best known for his campaign against Islam, won 4 per cent, a decade low. Turnout rose 4 percentage points from five years ago to 37 per cent.

The Dutch vote was a first test of the appeal of populist and Eurosceptic parties contesting elections across the bloc through Sunday, and the outcome may offer some relief to established pro-EU parties. “I hope that this gives a tailwind for a lot of other social democrats in Europe”, Mr Timmermans said in a reaction to the poll result.

The Dutch result could prove to be an outlier. Far-right parties are expected to increase their standing in the European Parliament, but are not expected to take more than a fifth of seats in the May 23rd-26th election.

The Netherlands and Britain were the first countries to vote. British polling stations closed at 10pm on Thursday.

A YouGov poll on Wednesday put support for Nigel Farage's Eurosceptic Brexit Party at 37 per cent, with the Conservatives of embattled prime minister Theresa May on just 7 per cent.

In France, Marine Le Pen's National Rally leads opinion polls, slightly ahead of President Emmanuel Macron's République En Marche party, according to a survey published by Les Echos newspaper on Thursday.

In Germany, Angela Merkel's Christian Democrat party is expected to remain the largest, with the anti-immigrant Alternative for Germany at 12 per cent, in fourth place.

Italy's far right ruling League party, led by deputy prime minister and interior minister Matteo Salvini, is seen remaining the country's largest.– Reuters