China's SARS epidemic not fading - WHO

SARS CRISIS: The SARS epidemic is showing no signs of fading in China, even though the number of cases is declining, WHO experts…

SARS CRISIS: The SARS epidemic is showing no signs of fading in China, even though the number of cases is declining, WHO experts said yesterday, as Taiwan reported more infections and Greece said it may have its first case.

China said its death toll from the virus rose by 10 to 262 - more than half the world's total - and said 80 more people had come down with the disease, 48 of them in Beijing, currently the hardest-hit place in the world.

That was the fourth straight day of fewer than the 100 or more new cases in Beijing reported for more than two weeks.

But the World Health Organisation said that did not mean it could see light at the end of the tunnel in a country battling to keep SARS from spreading into rural regions where health care is poor at best, although there was hope.

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"We may be seeing a downward trend," WHO consultant Dr Keiji Fukuda told a news conference. "The bottom line is that it is too early to say that the epidemic is tailing down, but we do hope to see that in the next few weeks."

The lower numbers of new cases is helping ease the panic that Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome caused in Beijing and Hong Kong.

But there were ominous signs that the previously unknown virus, which appeared in southern China in November, was starting to slow China's staggering economic growth.

China, the world's fastest-growing major economy, said growth in foreign direct investment (FDI) and domestic savings slowed in April.

Some economists said worse was to come for the country that overtook the United States last year as the top destination for FDI as foreign firms moved to tap its cheap labour and vast market.

"I think the SARS impact on actual FDI will be more severe starting from this month, or even over the next couple months," said Mr Chen Xingdong, an economist with investment bank BNP Paribas Peregrine in Beijing.

The damaging economic ripples were also affecting Taiwan, where 30 people have died. The government said it expected SARS to lop 2.9 per cent off export orders in the second quarter of this year compared with the first three months.

Airlines, among the industries most hurt by SARS, illustrated their pain in hard numbers.

Cathay Pacific, Hong Kong's main carrier, said its passenger traffic fell a year-on-year 65.7 per cent in April.

Overall, passenger traffic on Chinese airlines fell a year-on-year 25.7 per cent, the government said.

From Guangdong, SARS has spread to more than 30 countries and Greece said it may have its first case, a foreign female flight attendant who arrived from Hong Kong. "I stress this is not a confirmed case yet," Health Minister Mr Costas Stephanis said.

- (Reuters)