NO CHANGE in the three seat constituency of Cork North West is how the political analysts see the position after the election.
Fine Gael holds two of the three seats in Mr Michael Creed and Mr Frank Crowley. Fianna Fail's Mr Donal Moynihan has the third.
This constituency has always been particularly well organised by Fine Gael and it is difficult to see how things might go wrong for the party.
Cork North West takes in towns such as Kanturk, Millstreet, Charleville and Macroom and is predominantly farming country. The feeling locally is that things will not change and that the two Fine Gael seats are safe. It would also constitute a major upset if the Moynihan seat came under threat.
Fianna Fail targeted one of the two Fine Gael seats and selected Ms Mary Gough, a Charleville publican, to join the ticket. However, for health reasons she is not going forward and the party has not replaced her. This adds to the belief that the party will not unseat either of its FG rivals.
The second Fianna Fail candidate is Mr Michael Moynihan (28), a farmer from Kiskeam.
Mr Billy Cashin is heading the Labour Party's challenge while Mr Donie Howard is standing as an Independent. In the past, he has been associated with the MEP Mr Pat Cox, and has campaigned for him. But whether that association will bring Mr Howard any extra votes is a moot point.
The constituency does not usually witness the type of canvassing more common in urban areas but all the candidates are putting in long hours and nothing is being taken for granted.
As usual, the Fine Gael campaign is running smoothly and Mr Moynihan also has a tightly organised team. The issues in Cork North West include rural decline and people leaving the land, local school problems and incomes for small farmers. However, there is no one outstanding issue to galvanise the electorate.
Neither the Progressive Democrats, Democratic Left nor Sinn Fein have entered a candidate, thereby clearing the way for a three way fight between Fine Gael, Fianna Fail and Labour.
Of all the Cork constituencies, this one appears to be the easiest to call. At the last election, the electorate was 44,848 and just over 75 per cent voted.