Tullow Oil plunges to record low after raising net debt outlook

Analyst says downbeat trading update suggests an increased likelihood of a debt refinancing that could wipe out existing shareholders

Tullow Oil has this year agreed to sell its Kenyan deposits and offloaded assets in Gabon. Photograph: Baz Ratner/Reuters
Tullow Oil has this year agreed to sell its Kenyan deposits and offloaded assets in Gabon. Photograph: Baz Ratner/Reuters

Tullow Oil sank to a record low, with trading of the shares briefly halted in London, after the company said it is contemplating alternatives to refinance its looming debt maturities.

The stock plunged as much as 35 per cent to 5.55 pence, the lowest since trading began in 1989, over fears that a potential debt deal could hurt shareholders. Tullow’s bonds maturing next May dropped seven cents to around 79 cents on the dollar, according to data complied by Bloomberg.

The Irish-founded oil explorer became one of the hottest independent oil explorers after making several big African discoveries in the late 2000s. But it took on huge debts to develop them, and in recent years struggled to bring Kenyan fields on stream. This year it agreed to sell the Kenyan deposits and offloaded assets in Gabon.

In a trading update on Friday, the company said uncertainty surrounding its performance and the market led it to push forward with “alternative options with certain of its creditors, including an amend and extend exercise and other forms of liability management transactions.” It also raised its year-end net debt forecast to $1.2 billion (€1.04 billion), from $1.1 billion.

The company also forecast 2025 production at the lower end of its 40,000 to 45,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd) range.

Liability management exercises are manoeuvres to rework debt structures outside of court.

“We think a debt for equity swap may be required to keep the company going, which would probably wipe out existing equity holders,” Ashley Kelty, an analyst at Panmure Liberum, said in a note to clients.

While Tullow had previously spoken about bringing a strategic investor in, which could have helped with the looming maturity wall, the main focus is now on sorting out the debt first, according to people familiar with the matter, who asked not to be named discussing non-public information.

Bloomberg previously reported that creditors had organised with adviser Houlihan Lokey Inc. and Weil Gotshal & Manges. Large holders include Astaris Capital Management, Caius Capital, Melqart Asset Management and Tresidor Investment Management.

A financial solution is to be built on the basis of Tullow’s budget for next year, the people said.

“Production in 2026 will be dependent on a number of factors, including production from new wells helping to offset the natural decline from existing well stock,” Tullow said in the trading update. – Bloomberg/Reuters

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