Asia stocks shake off G7 jolt, US-North Korea summit awaited
Stocks wobbled in early trade after US President Donald Trump raised fresh fears of a global trade war when he backed out of a joint G7 communique over the weekend
US President Donald Trump flanked by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and White House Chief of Staff John Kelly attend a lunch with Singapore’s Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong and officials at the Istana in Singapore Monday, June 11th. Photograph: Jonathan Ernst/Reuters
Asia stocks shook off initial modest losses and edged up on Monday ahead of an historic US-North Korea summit that investors hope might pave the way to ending a nuclear stand-off on the Korean peninsula.
Spreadbetters expected European stocks follow their Asian peers higher, with Britain’s FTSE rising 0.25 per cent, Germany’s DAX advancing 0.17 per cent and France’s CAC inching up 0.05 per cent. Stocks wobbled in early trade after US President Donald Trump raised fresh fears of a global trade war when he backed out of a joint Group of Seven communique over the weekend, in a blow to the group’s efforts to show a united front.
The S&P 500 futures were 0.1 per cent lower after dropping as much as 0.3 per cent. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan slipped early but was last up 0.3 per cent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng also gained 0.3 percent while the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.5 per cent.
South Korea’s KOSPI added 0.65 per cent, and Japan’s Nikkei climbed 0.55 per cent.
“What took place at the G7 weekend was within the scope of earlier expectations. And while the countries disagreed on trade, they did seem to show a unified front on the North Korean issue, so there is also a positive element from the G7 affecting risk sentiment,” said Masahiro Ichikawa, senior strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management.
After the G7 meeting, the US president withdrew his support for its communique and blasted Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau amid a spat over import tariffs. “The G7 meeting in Canada reiterated the growing rift between Washington and its allies over free trade,” wrote Tai Hui, chief market strategist for Asia Pacific at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. “Business confidence, and subsequently capital spending, is at risk if this tension continues through the summer,” he said, adding that meetings this week of the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank will be critical events.
Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un will have an unprecedented meeting on Tuesday in Singapore, possibly laying the groundwork for ending a nuclear stand-off between the old foes. Some analysts also raised the prospect of international sanctions against North Korea being lifted.
“There are many obstacles that will need to be overcome if a deal between the US and North Korea is to be agreed, not least a lack of trust between the two sides,” Gareth Leather, senior Asia economist at Capital Economics, wrote in a note to clients. “Nevertheless, the improvement in ties between the US and North Korea has at least made the possibility of a deal, which sees economic sanctions on North Korea being lifted, seem a little less far-fetched.”
Investors also got prepared for a raft of other key events. The Fed holds a two-day meeting starting on June 12, and it is widely expected to raise interest rates for the second time this year. The focus is on whether the central bank will hint at raising rates a total of four times in 2018. The ECB meets on June 14, when it could signal intentions to start unwinding its massive bond purchasing programme. Also, the Bank of Japan on Friday concludes a two-day meeting at which it is widely expected to keep its loose monetary policy intact. The Canadian dollar, which has been dogged by fears Trump may scrap the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), fell 0.3 per cent to C$1.2967 per dollar. The euro, which was lifted last week amid the prospect of the ECB signalling its exit from easy policy, was 0.25 per cent higher at $1.1797. The dollar erased earlier losses to trade 0.2 per cent higher at 109.80 yen as regional equities gained and the US Treasuries yields rose ahead of a raft of auctions.
The dollar index against a basket of six major currencies was 0.1 per cent lower at 93.470. Oil prices were slipped from a downward pull of rising Russian production and increasing US oil drilling activity. Brent crude futures fell 0.33 per cent to $76.21 a barrel and US crude futures slipped 0.3 per cent to $65.54 a barrel. Bitcoin struggled near two-month lows after South Korean cryptocurrency exchange Coinrail said it was hacked over the weekend, raising concerns about security at small- to mid-sized virtual currency exchanges.