Federal Reserve

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The inversion of the yield curve  has occurred before every US recession of the past 50 years. Photograph: Reuters

Shorter-dated US bond yields once again eclipsed those for longer-dated notes on Thursday, signalling fears among bond market investors that the Feder(...)

 US stocks turned lower on Thursday as the first contraction in the manufacturing sector in nearly a decade and uncertainty about future interest rate cuts overshadowed an initial boost from upbeat retail earnings. Photograph: Reuters/Brendan McDermid/File Photo

European shares fell on Thursday as mixed readings of business growth across major economies and uncertainty over the US interest rate outlook made in(...)

Democratic senator from Massachusetts and Democratic presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren:  part of populist left with Senator Bernie Sanders. Photograph: Craig Lassig

Cui bono? When the economic cycle does its inexorable work, and a recession strikes the US, which political force will benefit? What the question lack(...)

The Iseq all-share index advanced 1.79 per cent on the day with advances for companies including Kingspan and CRH. Photograph: Dara Mac Dónaill

Global stocks advanced on Wednesday as investors await minutes from the US Federal Reserve’s July meeting for signs of future rate cuts. Dublin outper(...)

The unusual bond market phenomenon presented itself last week for the first time in more than 12 years. Photograph: iStock

Searches on Google for “inverted yield curve” have spiked after the unusual bond market phenomenon presented itself last week for the first time in mo(...)

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. Photograph: Spencer Platt/Getty Images

Stocks tanked following last week’s inversion of the US treasury yield curve, a key recession indicator. Should investors be worried? You can argue t(...)

Sterling doesn’t have the comfort of the dollar’s reserve status. Nor the resilience of the US economy. Photograph: Bloomberg via Getty Images

Sterling staged a minor rally this week, driven by speculation about a Corbyn-led government of national unity (GNU). That’s one sentence I never thou(...)

US president Donald Trump at a rally in Manchester, New Hampshire, on Thursday. Photograph: Elizabeth Frantz/Bloomberg

US president Donald Trump doubled down on his economic argument for re-election on Thursday night amid increasing concerns about a recession, declarin(...)

A view of  the New York Stock Exchange on August 14th. Photograph:  REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz

Stock markets globally were glad earlier this week to see that Donald Trump wasn’t prepared to cancel Christmas. Equities, which have had a bumpy ris(...)

US President Donald Trump leaves the Rose Garden with Jerome Powell. Photograph: Carlos Barria/File Photo/File Photo/Reuters

President Donald Trump called Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell “clueless” and blamed his policies for signs in the bond markets that a recession(...)

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