Fianna Fail poised to take second seat in Donegal - TG4 poll
Party’s strong showing may mean Independent TD Thomas Pringle’s seat is vulnerable
Fianna Fáil’s Charlie McConalogue (above) has 17 per cent support in the opinion poll in Donegal. File photograph: Alan Betson/The Irish Times
A constituency poll conducted by Ipsos MRBI for TG4 Seacht Lá shows Fianna Fáil and Sinn Féin are standing equal with 30 per cent of support each.
Fine Gael is on 17 per cent, and the combined total for independents is 23 per cent.
The strong showing for Fianna Fáil could mean Independent TD Thomas Pringle’s seat could be vulnerable. It also suggests Sinn Féin has little prospect of taking a third seat in the constituency.
On an individual basis, Sinn Féin’s Pearse Doherty looks like he will exceed the quota with 19 per cent, if these results are repeated on polling day.
FF’s Charlie McConalogue is next most popular, with 17 per cent support.
Fine Gael’s Joe McHugh and Fianna Fáil’s second candidate Pat “the Cope” Gallagher are both on 13 per cent, with the second Sinn Féin TD Padraig Mac Lochlainn on 9 per cent.
Mr Pringle is on 7 per cent, a similar percentage to another Independent Dessie Shiels.
On those showings, both Fianna Fáil candidates would be elected.
There may be a slight worry in Sinn Féin in relation to Mr Mac Lochlainn’s 9 per cent, although he would benefit from transfers from Mr Doherty’s surplus if these results were replicated on polling day.
Mr Pringle would need to pick up the bulk of transfers from lower-order candidates if he is to survive.
The poll was conducted among 500 adults in Donegal on Thursday and Friday of last week.
It is the first of three constituency polls TG4 will run during the course of the campaign.
The others will be in the Gaeltacht constituencies of Galway West and Kerry.