Apple is up almost 50%  since July, meaning Levoff has seemingly missed out on millions of dollars in gains. Photograph:  EPA/Franck Robichon

There has been an about-turn in sentiment towards emerging markets

JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon was ranked the best chief executive in the world in 2018 by CEO World magazine. Photograph: Yuri Gripas/Reuters

Company boards attribute too much importance to the role of chief executive

Home Depot founder Kenneth Langone railed against ‘all of these people with these highfalutin’ ideas’. File photograph: Yana Paskova/For the ‘Washington Post’ via Getty Images

Reports of Apple’s demise are overstated while worrying about timing is as futile as ever

Managers are much more likely to sell stocks with extreme returns, research indicates. Photograph: Reuters

Random sales strategy is better than a bad sales strategy, research shows

  Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell turned unexpectedly dovish after markets soared last week. Photograph: Reuters

Trump cheers Dow 25,000 – again, and the ‘Venezuelan’ wealth tax

Traders at the New York Stock Exchange. Two-thirds of investors surveyed in the wake of the global financial crisis believed the S&P 500 fell in 2009; in reality, it soared 26 per cent. Photograph: Spencer Platt/Getty Images

A fact-based world view is more useful to investors than the siren song of news

‘It wouldn’t surprise me at all if we slipped into a recession real soon,’ says Nobel economist Robert Shiller. Photograph:  Reuters/Michelle McLoughlin

Stocktake: Investors shouldn’t confuse a slowdown with a recession, ‘that’s just wrong’

Why are stocks gaining in the face of mounting economic uncertainty? Photograph: Spencer Platt/Getty Images

Stocks have room to keep rising if outlook begins to look less uncertain

Vanguard founder John Bogle, who died last week aged 89. He launched the first index fund for ordinary investors in 1976. Photograph: Ryan Collerd/New York Times

Stocktake: Brexit market complacency; cutting earnings estimates; S&P 500 rallies

Diversification reduces risk of long-term disappointment, but avoiding short-term pain is another matter entirely. Photograph: iStock

Research shows in short-term market panics few stocks are spared

Apple’s recent woes  have prompted many apocalyptic headlines lately. Photograph: Jason Lee/File Photo

Stocktake: Market volatility taking its toll on Trump; fear and greed grips Mr Market

“Market forecasts are particularly tricky. No one can see the future – the world is inherently uncertain and surprising things will happen.” Photograph: Shannon Stapleton/Reuters

Research shows people see value in humility after recognising limited understanding

Traders on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. The most prescient bear on Wall Street in 2018 was Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson, who warned we were witnessing a “rolling bear market”. Photograph: Brendan McDermid/Reuters

Forecasts from strategists show bullish expectations have been reined in

The Fearless Girl and  Charging Bull statues on Wall Street in New York. Photograph: William Volcov/Getty Images

Investors should not assume the worst is over if indices enjoy a strong rebound

US president Donald Trump: he  has threatened to shut down the government if his funding demands for the US-Mexico wall are not met. Photograph: Reuters/Jonathan Ernst

The mindset of traders has changed – instead of buying the dip they are selling the rallies

Bitcoin has lost 80 per cent of its value in the last year. Photograph: Benoit Tessier/Reuters

Cryptocurrency price collapse a painful lesson for new generation of investors

The charging bull statue near the New York Stock Exchange on Wall Street. Investors keep getting wrong-footed by the market swings. Photograph: Mandel Ngan/AFP/Getty Images

Wild price swings show role animal spirits currently play in financial markets

Prof Terrance Odean: Managers were 17 per cent more likely to repurchase a stock if they had previously sold it for a profit rather than a loss

A behavioural finance expert says investors are not as dispassionate as you’d think

Markets are increasingly optimistic the Brexit worst-case scenarios will be averted. Deutsche Bank estimates the odds of a soft Brexit deal to be   50 per cent to 65 per cent. Photograph: Getty Images

Microsoft’s obituaries were premature as it reclaimed its status as the world’s most valuable company for the first time since 200(...)

A cocktail of superior profitability, a conservative financial structure and creditworthiness is typically rewarded by investors, with family firms tending to trade at a premium to rival companies.Photograph: Getty Images

Family companies have handsomely outperformed the broader equity markets in all regions of the world

World Trade Center on the day of the 9/11 attacks: Labour adviser Jo Moore famously suggested it was a good day for the British government to bury bad news. Photograph: Sean Adair/Reuters

Beware blame on external factors, bad news buried on Fridays and deceptive graph use

Traders  on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. The recent losses at Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix and Google exceed the value of the entire Spanish stock market. Photograph: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

Stocktake: Tech giants in bear market as $1tn wiped off value since peak

After a near 10-year rally, is a bear market looming for US stocks? Photograph: iStock

It may be that this is a late-cycle bull market that isn’t quite finished yet

  Apple fell into a bear market last week. Photograph: Lucas Jackson/Reuters

Bitcoin likely to see further falls; oil is on the verge of hitting a 52-week low

Markets now perceive the Democrats as the fiscally responsible party, as evidenced by the reaction in bond markets. Photograph: Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images

S&P 500 enjoyed its biggest one-day post-midterm bounce since 1982

Stock markets have always been volatile, but the suddenness of the recent correction   took many by surprise. Photograph: Getty Images

‘Keep calm and carry on’ remains sound advice for long-term investors

Not all money managers share the idea that emerging market stocks are obviously cheap, while others say they are cheap for good reasons. Photograph: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg

Whatever about the short term, emerging markets can be a very good option

Corrections are par for the course in bull markets, but investors are understandably spooked by the scale of the selling. The S&P 500 went 28 consecutive days without registering back-to-back gains. Photograph: Getty Images

The 6.9% fall of the S&P 500 was its biggest monthly decline in seven years, while things were worse in tech-land with the Nasdaq (...)

Tesla chief executive Elon Musk said short sellers were a source of “extreme torture”. Photograph: Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images

Tesla chief Elon Musk is latest in long line of figures suspicious of short selling

Things can change quickly in markets, as Amazon shareholders have discovered. Photograph: Lindsey Wasson/Reuters

The US has been playing catch-up with what has become a truly global sell-off

Jerome Powell, chairman of the US Federal Reserve. Photograph: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg

In a US bull market and with 10-year bonds soaring, should equity investors be worried?

US indices have hit multiple all-time highs this year and the nine-year bull market remains intact, recent weakness notwithstanding.

Global economy is in late cycle, record 85 per cent of fund managers surveyed say

US president Donald Trump and Ivanka Trump in Washington on Thursday. The president’s grasp of basic economics is even weaker than it already appears to be. Photograph: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg

This is the week when the S&P 500 suffered its biggest one-day fall in eight months

  US president Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally on October 4th  in Rochester, Minnesota, ahead of the midterm elections. Photograph:    Hannah Foslien/Getty Images

Merrill Lynch says elections could have implications for fiscal policy and foreign ties

Tesla chief executive Elon Musk: After he publicly apologised for criticising an analyst, Tesla’s share value soared by almost $5 billion, making it “maybe the most valuable apology of all time”. File Photograph:  Joe Skipper/Reuters

Facebook, Apple and Uber have done the mea culpa – but an apology can go awry

A Nike Ad featuring American football quarterback Colin Kaepernick on display in New York last month. Photograph: Angela Weiss/AFP

Growing number of firms finding principle doesn’t have to be at expense of business

Canada is to legalise medicinal cannabis next month. Photograph: Ralph Orlowski/Reuters

Meanwhile, Merrill Lynch survey showing pessimism may be good news for contrarians

US president Donald Trump has asked the Securities and Exchange Commission to look into doing away with mandatory quarterly reports for public companies. Photograph:   Mandel Ngan/AFP/Getty Images

Focusing on quarterly earnings estimates, critics say, promotes corporate short-termism

September 10th, 2008. If a survey by robo-advisory firm Betterment survey is a guide, most people in Ireland have little idea the last decade was a good time to be invested in stocks. Photograph: Jeremy Bales/Bloomberg News

Why ‘dumb neighbours getting richer than you’ provides an invaluable lesson for us all

“Investing is simple”, as Warren Buffett once quipped, “but not easy”. Photograph: iStock

Notion that past gains were inevitable and future is murky is bedevilled by hindsight bias

Wall Street. It took Amazon just 165 trading sessions to grow its market value from $600bn in January to $1 trillion, the Wall Street Journal noted last week. Photograph: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg

Last week’s ISM Manufacturing Index reading will certainly encourage bulls.

An employee of Lehman Brothers carries a box out of the company’s HQ building (background) while dodging the media assembled outside on September 15th, 2008, in New York. Photograph: Chris Hondros/Getty Images

Interestingly, long-term investors in Ireland have not fared badly over the last decade

An electronic stock board. Photograph: Kiyoshi Ota/Bloomberg

The recent breakout to all-time highs suggests the bull market is alive and well

In 2013, analyst Tim Lee forecast that the Turkish lira, then trading at 1.9 to the US dollar, would collapse to 7.2. The 7 level was breached last month. Photograph: Murad Sezer/Reuters

Many experts were given Nostradamus status in the aftermath of the financial crisis

US president Donald Trump continues to overestimate his importance to the stock market. Photograph: Leah Millis/Reuters

This time it’s different as many investors hold more cash or bonds

The current bull market could run for another two and a half years, according to JP Morgan. Photograph: Robert Nickelsberg/Getty Images

US bull market isn’t quite as extraordinarily long as it might appear

A Tesla Model S electric vehicle recharging. Tesla chief executive Elon Musk’s inability to avoid controversy hasn’t helped the share price of electric car company recently. Photograph: Stefan Wermuth/Bloomberg

Merrill Lynch monthly fund manager survey suggests indices haven’t yet bottomed

Apple has been the biggest company in the world for most of the last seven years and has comfortably outperformed the S&P 500 over that period. Illustration: Dado Ruvic/Reuters

The technology giant’s market dominance has followed long periods of disappointment

Elon Musk, chief executive and founder of Tesla Motors. Musk’s claim that he wants to take Tesla private to remove “distraction and short-term thinking” is ironic. File photograph: Toru Hanai/Reuters

Scepticism over what would be the largest leveraged buyout ever is understandable

Bill Miller. Had he retired in 2006, everyone “would have thought I was a genius”, he said last year. “By 2009, I was like an idiot.” Photograph: Heidi Gutman/Getty Images

The luckiest investors end up with five times as much money as the unluckiest ones

Subsidies in areas such as solar storage and wind power mean they are “becoming economic far faster than anyone realised”, billionaire Jeremy Grantham says. Photograph: VCG

Ethical investors can outperform if they engage with corporate sinners

A monitor displays Apple Inc stock information at the Nasdaq MarketSite in New York on August 2nd. Apple Inc. became the first US-based company with a market value of $1 trillion, four decades after it was co-founded by Steve Jobs in a Silicon Valley garage and later revolutionized the worlds of computing, music and mobile communications. Photograph: Peter Foley/Bloomberg

The European stock market is much cheaper than the US and it’s likely to stay that way for some time

Facebook missed estimates and issued “jaw-dropping guidance,” as GBH Insights put it, saying profit margins would plummet from 44 per cent to the “mid-30s” for more than two years. Photograph: Johannes Berg/Bloomberg

Quick rebound unlikely as growth slowdown guidance prompts biggest one-day loss ever

Bad weather has been shown to affect people’s moods, driving “fatigue, anxiety, depression and limited attention to work”. Photograph: iStock/Getty

Weather and mood influence investors’ decision-making, new research indicates

Many investors fear indices are overly dependent on high-flying technology stocks – particularly Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix and Google. Photograph: Scott Olson/Getty Images

Yields are levelling off after long bull run but market peak may be some way off yet

 Elon Musk: his paedo slur is further evidence the Tesla founder is a very thin-skinned soul who cannot stand having his judgment questioned. Photograph: Kiichiro Sato/AP

Will Amazon pip Apple to the post to become US’s first trillion-dollar company?

Man or machine? Computers increasingly dominate today’s investment world.

Computers increasingly dominate today’s investment world, but they can only go so far

BAML’s Bull & Bear Indicator  is now on the verge of giving a trading buy signal. Photographer: Alex Kraus/Bloomberg via Getty Images

Stocktake: Fourteen bear market signals suggest bull’s race is almost run

It’s hard to believe there’s “no bright line level of the stock market that’s going to change policy”, as US commerce secretary Wilbur Ross put it last week. Photograph: Kevin Lamarque/Reuters

US administration will be keeping close eye on markets in the coming months

Investing is one of the “rare areas where passivity is usually the better strategy”, but people’s instinct might be to assume strong investment performance is more likely if the fund manager works hard.

While most active funds underperform, investors persist in belief hard work pays

Apple’s current dominance pales in comparison to that enjoyed by IBM in the mid-1980s. Photograph: by Jaap Arriens/NurPhoto via Getty Images

Some say sector is in a bubble, but current race looks more sustainable than dotcom days

Although the rhetoric coming from the Trump administration is “pretty wild and heated”, the reality has been “pretty mild”. Photograph: Win McNamee/Getty Images

It would be a ‘big deal for profits even if it isn’t as big of a deal for the economy’

Shares fell to their lowest level in nearly two years last week in China, and are now down 19 per cent since January. Photograph: Jerome Favre

Stocktake: Elon Musk taunts short sellers and GE exits Dow Jones index

Warren Buffett and Jamie Dimon argue that quarterly earnings guidance “often leads to an unhealthy focus on short-term profits”. Photograph: Donald Bowers/Getty Images

Many see the case for quarterly guidance from companies as increasingly tenuous

The combined value of Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft and Alphabet – the FAAMGs, as they are sometimes known – is just shy of $4 trillion. Photograph: Chesnot/Getty Images

The tech advance has been led by companies with some eye-watering valuation multiples

A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. Fund managers are overweight US equities for the first time in 15 months. Photograph: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg

Positioning on Europe ‘not yet fully defensive’, says Merrill Lynch

Greenpeace activists demonstrate at the entrance to the Volkswagen  plant in Wolfsburg, Germany, in  2015. “When a company runs afoul of the social consensus . . . investors have an opportunity.” Photograph:  Peter Steffen

Trading decisions made in fury permit investors to harness ‘the outrage cycle’

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). US stocks reached the highest since mid-March, tracking peers in Europe and Asia. Photograph: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg

More ‘all-or-nothing days’, Trump ‘greatness’, and gains consolidated

The notion that stocks are inevitably a good long-term bet ignores the fact that equities have not always survived troubled periods.

Focusing on successes while ignoring past failures is a major flaw in data analysis

Traders on the floor of the Dow Industrial Average at the New York Stock Exchange. Photograph: Bryan R Smith/AFP/Getty Images

In the past 10 downturns, the S&P 500 was actually higher seven times

President Donald Trump and vice-president Mike Pence examine an iconic Yellow Iron from Caterpillar. There has been much focus on the warning from Caterpillar’s chief executive  that the first quarter of 2018 might prove to be a “high watermark” for the company. Photograph:  Olivier Douliery/AFP/Getty Images

Bears see this as temporary but bulls think profit margins have risen to a permanently higher plateau

Oil prices have risen some 50 per cent over the last year – the 11th biggest price spike in the last 70 years. Photograph: Lewis Whyld/PA Wire

Dove-like Fed, Musk meltdown and bulls have the edge

Warren Buffett:  was written off in the late 1990s only to come roaring back when the technology bubble burst. Photograph: Rick Wilking/Reuters

Stocktake: with value stocks in a slump, the tortoise and hare approach may lose its appeal

Fair bet: Paddy Power  shares soared following a US supreme court ruling ending a federal ban on US sports betting. Photograph: Paddy Power Betfair/PA Wire

Soros and those Tesla bonds; cryptocurrency scammers still profiting from the gullible

Billions of dollars were wiped off the value of Tesla stock after the company’s chief executive, Elon Musk, ignored questions from two analysts during the recent earnings conference call. Photograph: VCG/VCG via Getty Images

Markets took fright after the entrepreneur lashed out at analysts

Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates said he would short bitcoin if there was an easy way to do it. Photograph: Rick Wilking/Reuters

Stocktake: Market volatility falls but lengthy correction in stock prices continues

Many high-profile investors share a scepticism towards Tesla, one of the most shorted stocks on the US market. Photograph: Denis Balibouse/Reuters

High prices are sustained as speculators believe they can sell on to ‘greater fool’

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. Photograph: Michael Nagle/ Bloomberg

Stocktake: Investors fret over rising bond yields

P Morgan Chase HQ in  New York. JP Morgan says stocks tend to rise more when repurchases are announced than when the transactions actually occur. Photograph: Mike Segar/Reuters

A record number of companies have issued upward earnings guidance, according to FactSet data

A trader passes the word on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. Photograph: Brendan McDermid/Reuters

Six factors to keep in mind as volatile stock markets nurse double-digit ‘correction’

Just over three years ago, Netflix was valued at about $20bn; today, the streaming giant is worth some $145bn.  Photograph: Gabby Jones/Bloomberg

Merrill Lynch says that bulls are currently being ‘silenced, not routed’

Are you “susceptible”, “infected” or “immune” to Bitcoin? Photograph: Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg

Stocktake: Bitcoin ‘virus’ peaks; Barclays’ equity study; Buffet the billionaire boy

Stop-loss orders are a risk management tool designed to cut your potential losses before they get out of hand. Photograph: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

Stop-loss orders switch you out of market when price falls below designated point

Amazon founder Jeff Bezos: Donald Trump’s tweets have hit Amazon’s share prices. Photograph: Alessandro Di Marco

Stocktake: Paulsen urges caution; volatility returns; stocks breach 200-day average

One study found the average Nasdaq investor underperformed the index by 5.3 percentage points annually over a 30-year period. Photograph: Kazuhiro Nogi/AFP/Getty Images

There is a danger investors will let their emotions get the better of them in turbulent times

 New York Stock Exchange: Some weeks back, everyone was worrying the US economy might overheat. Now, everyone’s worrying about a recession.  Photograph: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg

CFD clampdown, US yield curve concerns and accepting end of S&P winning streak

Elevated pay ratios have long been justified by the notion that you have to pay for top talent. Photograph: iStock

Estimates suggest chiefs in US are paid about 300 times more than the average worker

 Facebook stock  dipped below its 200-day moving average last week. Photograph: AFP

Stocktake: Facebook stock down $60bn over Cambridge Analytica’s revelations

More than half of respondents believed bitcoin was in a bubble when it was trading at $2,200. A few months later, bitcoin had more than doubled and was trading at $5,300, but fewer people now believed they were witnessing a bubble. Photograph: Sascha  Steinbach/EPA

Is it really that difficult to go against the herd? In a nutshell, yes

Bullish sentiment, as measured by the weekly American Association of Individual Investor polls, has averaged less than 37 per cent since the rally began in 2009. Photograph: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg

Proinsias O’Mahony: Muted sentiment has lengthened the bull market

A Cherry Coke bottle featuring an image of US investor Warren Buffett. Berkshire Hathaway, founded by Buffett, is Coca-Cola’s largest investor. Photograph: Greg Baker/AFP/Getty Images

Sheer size of Berkshire Hathaway will inevitably constrain its performance

The good news is Trump’s responsiveness to market movements may prevent him from doing anything too silly.Photograph: Evan Vucci/AP

In a normal market, last week’s declines would hardly be noticed, but this has not been a normal market

Is it wrong to say a fund manager has lost his touch just because he has lagged over a particular period? Or might it be the case that their original success was little more than luck, and they have now been found out?

Performance does not persist, as shown by the latest scorecard from S&P Dow Jones Indices

Jerome Powell: Investors, accustomed to “dovish” former Fed chiefs such as Janet Yellen, Ben Bernanke and Alan Greenspan, may have been disconcerted by Powell’s “demeanour and forcefulness”. Photograph: Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images

Stocktake: Fed chair strikes ‘hawkish tone’. Plus: S&P’s fall and rise; tech stocks power back

 “The central truth of the investment business is that investment behaviour is driven by career risk,”  GMO founder Jeremy Grantham opined in a famous 2012 note. Photographer: Daniel Acker/Bloomberg

Why is herding such a problem in financial markets?

Yields between 2 and 3 per cent represent the “sweet spot” for stocks, Merrill Lynch cautioned in a report last week. Photograph: iStock

Stocktake: Why you should delete your investing app from your smartphone

Is this finally bear market time? Photograph: iStock

Investors should have taken advantage of the recent weakness in the market

Amid the ongoing agonising about US inflation and the interest rate outlook,  stocks are enjoying a very fine earnings season. Photograph: Getty Images

Stocktake: despite strong market rebound, stocks likely to retest recent lows

Seven ways to understand the recent rollercoaster stock market

Proinsias O’Mahony: Seven nerve-calming steps to help you make sense of it all

More articles