Ethiopia launches manhunt for Tigray leaders after taking capital

Tigray People’s Liberation Front vows to fight on, raising spectre of extended guerrilla war

The flow of refugees and attacks by the Tigray People’s Liberation Front on neighbouring Eritrea have also threatened to destabilise the wider Horn of Africa region. Photograph: EPA

The flow of refugees and attacks by the Tigray People’s Liberation Front on neighbouring Eritrea have also threatened to destabilise the wider Horn of Africa region. Photograph: EPA

 

The Ethiopian government launched a manhunt on Sunday for leaders of a rebellious faction in the northern region of Tigray after announcing federal troops had taken over regional capital Mekelle and military operations were complete.

The International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) said hospitals in Mekelle are running low on supplies such as gloves to care for the wounded, and one hospital is lacking body bags for the dead. An ICRC statement did not give any numbers for the dead and wounded, but said the situation was “quiet” on Sunday.

The government has not said if there were casualties in its offensive to take the city.

Prime minister Abiy Ahmed has been trying to quell a rebellion by the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), a powerful ethnically-based party that dominated the central government for nearly three decades before Mr Abiy came to power in 2018.

He said on Saturday evening federal troops had taken control of Mekelle within hours of launching an offensive there, allaying fears of protracted fighting in the city of 500,000 people.

TPLF leader Debretsion Gebremichael later said his forces were withdrawing from around the city but would fight on, raising the spectre of a drawn-out guerrilla war.

Thousands of people are believed to have been killed and nearly 44,000 have fled to neighbouring Sudan since fighting began on November 4th.

The conflict has been another test for Mr Abiy, who is trying to hold together a patchwork of ethnic groups that comprise Ethiopia’s 115 million people. The flow of refugees and attacks by the TPLF on neighbouring Eritrea have also threatened to destabilise the wider Horn of Africa region.

Claims from all sides are difficult to verify since phone and internet links to Tigray have been down and access tightly controlled since fighting erupted this month.

The prime minister, who refers to the three-week-old conflict as an internal law and order matter, has rebuffed international offers of mediation. He said federal police would try to arrest TPLF “criminals” and bring them to court.

Late on Saturday, police issued arrest warrants for 17 more military officers charged with crimes including treason and embezzlement of public properties, state-affiliated Fana TV reported. Arrest warrants have already been issued for 117 senior officers with alleged ties to the TPLF since the conflict began.

Ethiopian state TV broadcast footage on Sunday of federal troops in a location it did not specify clapping and cheering. Residents in five towns in Amhara region, which has a long-running border dispute with Tigray, took to the streets to show support for the military, state-run Amhara Mass Media Agency reported.

Regional diplomats and experts have said a rapid military victory in Mekelle might not signal the end of the conflict.

Tigray’s leadership has vowed to fight on and, although it’s not clear how depleted Tigrayan security forces are by the conflict, armed resistance to federal rule may well be backed by much of the regional government and party apparatus, including local militia, as well as by other Tigrayan nationalist elements, said Will Davison, a senior analyst on Ethiopia at the International Crisis Group think tank.

The TPLF has a history of guerrilla resistance. Tigray’s mountainous terrain and borders with Sudan and Eritrea helped the group during its long struggle against Marxist dictator Mengistu Haile Mariam, whom it eventually toppled in 1991.

The TPLF and Eritrean forces fought together against Mengistu and Eritrea secured its independence with his departure but relations soured soon after. The two nations went to war over a border dispute in 1998-2000.

Mr Abiy won a Nobel Peace Prize last year for making peace with Eritrea, but the TPLF continues to regard the country as a mortal enemy.

The head of the United Nations refugee agency said on Sunday that he hoped the government’s promise to open humanitarian access to Tigray would happen as soon as possible.

Explosions in Eritrea’s capital

Meanwhile, six explosions were reported in the Eritrean capital Asmara on Saturday night, according to the US State Department, although it was unclear if they were related to the Tigray conflict. The statement did not mention the cause or location of the explosions.

The TPLF has accused Eritrea of sending troops into Tigray in support of the Ethiopian government and fired rockets at Asmara on November 14th.

Mr Abiy’s government launched the offensive in Tigray after what it described as an attack by local forces on federal troops stationed there.

The TPLF accuses Mr Abiy of wanting to centralise control at the expense of Ethiopia’s 10 regions, which exercise wide-ranging powers over matters like taxation and security. Mr Abiy denies this.

Tensions escalated after Tigray held a regional election in September in defiance of the federal government, which had postponed voting nationwide in August because of the Covid-19 pandemic, and which called the Tigray vote illegal – Reuters