Winners outnumber losers as economy recovers

With recovery underway, this was a year for comebacks as well as encouraging success for a new breed of entrepreneurs

For the first time since the financial crash, it was harder this year to pick the losers than the winners. As well-known businesses toppled and entrepreneurs lost their fortunes over recent years, winners have been few. But with recovery underway, 2014 was a year for comebacks in Irish business, as well as encouraging signs from Ireland’s new breed of technology and bioscience entrepreneurs.

Only one developer features on the loser list this year, where previously it would be hard to know who to leave out as so many were going bankrupt or having their empires seized by their banks or Nama.

The most high-profile loser of the year was Sir Anthony O'Reilly while the most unexpected relative winner was David Duffy, chief executive of what is still the biggest problem in Irish banking, AIB, where prospects are improving.

In 2014 things got so bad at Irish Water it almost needed a super-loser category. If the Government does not move this semi-State towards the winner’s enclosure soon, it will face dire consequences.

All in all, 2014 was still a challenging year for Irish business, but also a return to normality. The fallout from Ireland’s financial crash continues, but there is a sense that next year will bring yet more winners and fewer losers.

WINNERS

The Collisons

It is not that long ago Stripe was barely more than an idea of Limerick’s John and

Patrick Collison

. In 2010 they founded their start-up which became a developer- friendly way to accept payments online and in mobile apps. Four years later, at the start of December, the Collisons announced they had closed a new funding round of $70 million (€57 million) valuing their business at a vertiginous $3.5billion. To put this in context, after four years in business they were as valuable as

Paddy Power

.

Silicon Valley royalty Apple, Twitter and Facebook are all partners and it is also making inroads into China. Still only twentysomething, the Collison brothers have looked on track for greatness for some years. This year they really made it. They look on course to pass out Ireland's old generation of tycoons to inspire a new breed of entrepreneur.

Kieran Curran and GenCell

When New York Stock Exchange-listed

Becton Dickinson

announced in October it had bought an Irish medical technology start-up few batted an eyelid. Nowhere in the press release did BD mention that it had paid a hefty $150 million (€117 million) for the business called GenCell Biosystems which was founded only three years ago by Kieran Curran. The sale represented a 20-fold return on capital for its investors including

Enterprise Ireland

who had pumped €6 million into it. It was also a vote of confidence in Curran and his team’s ability to create a state-of-the art sequencing technology that allows labs analyse DNA more quickly and cheaply than its competitors’ products.

Curran plans to remain with the company for the next few years. But, at only 34, he will undoubtedly someday replicate his DNA success.

Liam McCaffrey

For decades Liam McCaffrey was the right-hand man of Ireland’s once richest man Seán Quinn. A talented manager, McCaffrey helped Quinn build an international manufacturing empire from its base along the Border. Then came Quinn’s disastrous gamble on Anglo Irish Bank’s shares which led to the loss of it all. In February, McCaffrey, who had resigned from the

Quinn Group

, was forced to relive the entire affair during the Anglo trial.

Over lunch at the trial McCaffrey shared a court canteen table with his fellow witness Quinn. It was a far cry from the boardroom. But by the end of last year McCaffrey had begun his comeback.

He convinced three big funds to back him and a local consortium called QBRC to buy back two key units of the old Quinn empire. Having started the year mired in the past, McCaffrey finished the year looking to the future as chief executive of at least some of his old business.

mhnal Slattery

Four years ago Dómhnal Slattery’s career was in tatters.

Claret Capital

, the private wealth investment company he had founded, was in trouble. Some of Claret’s investors, including Slattery himself, had lost millions when the world’s financial markets nosedived. Plans to launch a new executive jet service called JetBird also crashed.

Slattery’s salvation came when he returned to his roots in aircraft leasing by launching an aviation finance business called Avolon. Last year it was courted by Chinese and other investors interested in snapping up it up but the company went instead with a flotation on the New York Stock Exchange. Initially it was expected Avolon would float in the $1.8 billion to $2 billion range – in the end it floated at $1.6 billion (€1.3 billion) in December. This was still an incredible achievement by Slattery and his team which look set to pocket a fortune from the business. Given the risks in the industry and talent in their ranks few will begrudge them.

David Duffy

Picking a banker as a winner of the year is not an easy choice but here goes. David Duffy, the chief executive of AIB, took over a total basket case that was 99 per cent State-owned, getting hammered by rival

Bank of Ireland

, and was squeezing some of its borrowers way too hard.

All of these things are still true. But Duffy still deserves a gong for effort. AIB has stripped out a lot of cost. It returned to profit and generated capital again last year. Duffy believes it will be an “investable proposition” for external investors by its full year results in March. Over 10 years, he said he believes the bank will pay-off the full cost of its taxpayer bailout – some €21 billion – and next year it might be able to pay the coupon on the State’s €3.5 billion of preference shares for the first time.

In getting AIB from the point where it was a toxic disaster to where it now looks capable of doing things again and is making a profit Duffy deserves some recognition. Not an outright winner of 2014, but perhaps most improved.

LOSERS

Sir Anthony O’Reilly

For decades Sir Anthony O’Reilly was a fixture in the winners’ enclosure of Irish business. This year, however, has truly been an annus horribilis for the State’s once richest man. After keeping his personal financial wreckage behind closed doors since the financial crisis began, it all came spilling out into the open this year. O’Reilly was humiliated in the courts by AIB who repeatedly called him insolvent.

Having tried his best to deal with his creditors by selling his assets in a controlled manner, the decline in O'Reilly's fortunes is due primarily to heavy losses on his stakes in Independent News & Media and Waterford Wedgwood. A documentary on RTÉ and comments by business leaders such as Dr Michael Smurfit served to counterbalance his travails with O'Reilly's many achievements. O'Reilly may have lost his millions at the last, but his performance over the length of his career remains astounding.

Patrick Neary

Economist Colm McCarthy recalled in a 2011

Vanity Fair

article seeing

Patrick Neary

appear on

Prime Time

on October 2nd, 2008, when he insisted that the Irish banks were sound.

"What happened was that everyone in Ireland had the idea that somewhere in Ireland there was a little wise old man who was in charge of the money, and this was the first time they'd ever seen this little man," McCarthy recalled. "And then they saw him and said 'who the f*** was that?' That's when everyone panicked."

Neary’s performance at last summer’s Anglo trial was a similar moment for those who witnessed it. In his two days in the witness box, Neary said “I don’t recall” 30 times, “I don’t know” 23 times, “I can’t recall” 12 times, “I can’t/don’t/cannot remember” 12 times, “That’s a complete blank to me” once, and “I’ve absolutely no recollection” four times.

The entire business where the State’s richest man, who also owned a big insurance company, bet his entire fortune in a way that destabilised Ireland’s third biggest bank, was all a bit of a blur to the former top watchdog.

Neary lost the last scraps of his credibility during the Anglo trial.

John Tierney

The Irish Water debacle was the story of the year. Tierney can only reflect that he is lucky to have survived it after the State agency was embroiled in controversy after controversy, which saw tens of thousands of people march in protest.

From Tierney’s company credit card bill of €12,000 to the €55,000 spent on a staff gym, every aspect of Irish Water has been pulled apart, and from its generous bonus structure to its many U-turns on pricing to controversy over its demands for people’s personal data, every step has been a mess. In November, Tierney was even forced into a humiliating apology to the public for all the mistakes made so far.

The need for a better water supply is undoubted but Irish Water has failed to sell the positives, while allowing the negatives get out of control. To blame Tierney entirely, however, is a mistake. While he is the face of the Irish Water mess, responsibility clearly goes much higher than one man, to the board and the politicians in charge.

Harry Crosbie

In July, businessman Harry Crosbie tried to salvage something from an awful year by backing a civic bid to block the “barbarous” sale of the

Bord Gáis

Energy Theatre from the philistines of the open market. His appeal gained little traction, despite the support of a noted theatre critic, and instead he was forced to watch as wealthy Dublin couple John and

Bernie Gallagher

acquired the architecturally stunning building for €28 million.

In the courts, a different picture was painted too of Crosbie who, while he did display genuine vision in his earlier career for the regeneration of Dublin’s docklands, seemed to show less foresight in his dealings with Nama.

With Nama seeking a judgment of €77 million against him Crosbie was forced to plead in court that expenses of €5,000 a month was too little. He also faced some serious allegations from Nama under 11 different headings ranging from questions about chunky payments to his family members to allegedly failing to disclose assets worth millions. Crosbie has denied any wrongdoing, but this was a year he will certainly want to forget.

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