Oil fell slightly today to stand near $75 as a firm dollar offset a surprise drop in crude stockpiles in top consumer the United States.
Concern that a global economic recovery is cooling propped up the US dollar and the yen, while commodity-related currencies, including the Australian dollar, faced pressure from investors unwinding risky trades.
"Over the last few days, the dollar has been stronger because people are trying to get risk off their portfolio," said Keichi Sano, general manager of research at SCM Securities in Tokyo."People now are in the mood of risk off, not risk on."
US crude inventories unexpectedly dropped by 2.2 million barrels last week, an industry report showed yesterday.
US oil for March delivery slid 3 cents to $74.68 a barrel by 3.11am, after touching a five-week intraday low of $73.82 yesterday. London ICE Brent for March settlement shed 11 cents to $73.18.
Later in the day, the Fed's Open Market Committee will conclude a two-day meeting that is expected to yield little in terms of a US monetary policy shift.
"I don't think FOMC will give us any hint of higher interest rates soon," Mr Sano said. "For now, we might struggle to go lower than $70."
The drop in US crude supplies came as imports fell by 1.5 million bpd to 8.31 million bpd, according to the American Petroleum Institute's weekly report. Inventories were expected to have gained 1.4 million barrels, a Reuters poll showed.
Some analysts attributed the drop in crude imports to weather-related disruptions that slowed offloading along the US Gulf Coast.
US inventories of distillates, a fuel category that includes heating oil and diesel, fell by 2 million barrels versus forecasts of a 1.7 million-barrel decrease. Gasoline stocks grew by 916,000 barrels, compared to expectations for a 1.1-million gain.
Traders also awaited the release of government inventory statistics from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) at 4pm today.
China yesterday enforced stricter reserve ratios for selected banks, triggering a wave of concern that tightening measures will restrain energy demand. And last week, US President Barack Obama proposed tightening trading rules for banks.
"Possible financial restrictions on hedge funds, that is also a concern for participants in the commodity markets," Mr Sano said.
The phase-out of stimulus measures in China, the world's second-largest oil user, could jeopardise a rebound in global oil demand. Forecasters including Goldman Sachs have highlighted the importance of emerging markets in Asia to drain unseasonably-high oil inventories.
But the return of positive global oil demand growth "may not be enough to put upward pressure on oil prices in 2010," the Center for Global Energy Studies, a London-based think-tank said in a report dated January 25th.
Reuters