Hotel sector to see growth in next two years, says leading law firm

Mason Hayes & Curran believes valuations and transactions will increase significantly

The hotel industry  is now turning over some  €7.6 billion a year with the outturn for 2015 forecast at €7.9 billion

The hotel industry is now turning over some €7.6 billion a year with the outturn for 2015 forecast at €7.9 billion

 

A leading law firm is forecasting a “buoyant market” for hotel property this year and next. Mason Hayes & Curran believes growing demand from the domestic market and overseas visitors coupled with an emerging supply shortage will drive both hotel valuations and transactions in the coming years.

Naoise Cosgrove, advisory partner with Crowe Horwath, said the hotel sector experienced a “sharp downturn from 2007 to 2010 when turnover fell from a peak of €8 billion to just over €6 billion. The industry was among the first sectors of the economy to recover in 2010, and turnover is now back to €7.6 billion with the outturn for 2015 forecast at €7.9 billion, very close to the peak level.”

With few properties coming on stream, he believes the industry will see more transaction activity in 2015. However, Mason Hayes & Curran real estate partner Vanessa Byrne believes hotel deals are growing in complexity.

“A hotel sale is a normal property transaction with bells and whistles,” she says. “There is a lot more going on there. You have to ask what you are buying: is it the physical property? Is it the business? Is it an asset or a share sale? Typically it’s an asset sale but sometimes it’s a share purchase agreement.

“Due diligence is an art form all of its own when it comes to hotels. Purchasers have become very adept at it but vendors need to be very concerned as well. They have to take a long hard look at it months in advance and put their house in order. They have to admit to their sins early and deal with them.”

Significant change

“Almost all due diligence is now carried out before the contracts have been signed. This means there are a lot fewer delays in closing.”

A further complicating factor has been created by the competition issue of thresholds for merger notification.

Maureen O’Neill, partner with Mason Hayes & Curran’s EU and anti-trust team, said that since the changes came into force in October 2014, 29 notifications were made to the Competition and Consumer Protection Commission, seven of which related to hotel sales.

Under the new rules a transaction that amounts to a “change of control” is notifiable where, in the most recent financial year, combined turnover in the Republic of the parties involved is not less than €50 million and turnover of each of at least two of the parties is not less than €3 million.