Kenny’s track record could land him a key EU position
Opinion: Taoiseach’s obvious enjoyment of his job is a key aspect of creating confidence
When the Coalition took power in March 2011, Kenny and his Ministers braced themselves for inevitable unpopularity in the light of the tough policies they knew were required to keep the country on the road to economic recovery.
Yet despite all the hard decisions taken by the Coalition, Fine Gael is holding up well in the opinion polls and should be capable of a reasonable showing at the European and local elections in May.
Kenny’s performance in the Taoiseach’s office has been the crucial factor in establishing the Coalition’s credibility and getting broad public acceptance of the need to endure tough times now in the long-term interests of the country.
A key element of Kenny’s success has been his infectious optimism. That helped to persuade a deeply disillusioned electorate that all of the problems facing the country in 2011 could be overcome in time but that patience was required.
What comes across to the electorate is that he actually enjoys the job of being Taoiseach. That has been a critical factor in creating the air of confidence that was so necessary, particularly in the early days of the Coalition.
His mantra about making Ireland the best small country in the world in which to do business may have become a cliche at home, but it has worked to generate foreign direct investment on his numerous trips abroad.
In his message to delegates at the ardfheis, he emphasises that Fine Gael and its Labour partners in government remain totally committed to achieving the promised economic recovery. He underlines that this is the key message they should carry to the doorsteps in the forthcoming local and European elections.
The unrelenting focus on the economy has so far paid political as well as economic dividends for the Government. After the disastrous collapse of the economy, it appears that voters are prepared to ignore almost all other issues as long as the recovery remains on track.
Despite the unremitting political and media focus on the Garda controversy over the past month or so, it appears to have made little or no impact on party support. Hence Kenny’s injunction to his supporters to focus on the economy when they go to the doorsteps in May.
Those elections will be a sterner test of political support than opinion polls. If Fine Gael can hold about 30 per cent of the vote in elections which are tailor-made for Opposition parties and Independents, it will feel confident that it really can hold on to power in the next general election.
It is naturally assumed in Fine Gael that Kenny will lead the party into the next general election as there is nobody remotely interested in challenging his leadership. But what if he is offered one of the tempting big EU positions due to be filled this year?