Any foolish attempt to cut pensions will be attended by the shade of Ernest Blythe
Opinion: Elderly are well organised and get a more sympathetic hearing than do some other groups
Joan Burton and Eamon Gilmore attend a protest against changes in medical card eligibility for the elderly in 2008. Photograph: Bryan O’Brien
Whatever happens in October’s budget one thing is certain: the old age pension will not be cut. Some cuts in the overall welfare budget are inevitable and the elderly may well be affected by some of them, but the basic pension will remain intact.
The Coalition parties committed themselves in the programme for government to retaining basic social welfare rates, including the old age pension, at their present levels. And there is no sign of any change in that stance.
If anything, there is less pressure to reduce the pension now than there was when the Coalition took office due to the steady improvement in the public finances. While further spending cuts have to be found nobody in Government has any notion of proposing pension cuts.
This has little to do with the merits or demerits of the argument but is rooted in simple political calculation. Pensioners are one of the most powerful lobby groups in the country and politicians fear the vengeance certain to be wreaked upon them if they tamper with the pension.
None of the TDs who were members of the last Dáil are likely to forget the passions that were aroused when medical card eligibility limits for pensioners were changed in 2009. The outrage almost derailed the late Brian Lenihan’s initial attempt to get to grips with the financial crisis.
Going back to the early years of the State, the cut in the old age pension introduced by minister for finance Ernest Blythe in 1924 went into folk memory. It was a potent political weapon in the hands of Fine Gael’s opponents for well over half a century. That is a powerful reason why nobody of any significance in the party wants to reduce pensions now.
Mind you, with the population facing another round of budget cuts as the country nears the exit from the bailout, there are certainly valid arguments on the grounds of equity for taking a close look at entitlements available to the elderly.
Detailed figures released by the Central Statistics Office on Thursday showed that the elderly have suffered considerably less in financial terms from the recession than any other age group. They confirmed once again that younger people have borne the brunt of the recession and that the elderly have been largely protected.
Children are at a far greater risk of poverty than the elderly but they don’t have votes. By contrast, not only do the elderly have votes but they are the more likely to cast their ballots than younger voters and so have far more influence over the political system than any other age group.
The lobby groups for the elderly are well organised and adept at influencing the media but, even deeper than that, there seems to be a natural tendency in Ireland for the elderly to receive a more sympathetic hearing from the general public than other interest groups.