Nate Silver

26 results

Democratic presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren  visits Fairfield, Iowa, US. Photograph: Rachel Mummey/Reuters

Last summer, New York magazine put a bounding Elizabeth Warren on its cover, along with the headline “Front Runner?” Even allowing for the crafty hedg(...)

US president Donald Trump: he  has threatened to shut down the government if his funding demands for the US-Mexico wall are not met. Photograph: Reuters/Jonathan Ernst

US stock markets have been shaky lately. In fact, they’ve been shaky since peaking 11 weeks ago. Are we any closer to a bottom? Bears might see such (...)

Donald Trump: some pundits who predicted a Trump victory have been lauded as Nostradamus-like visionaries, even if their predictions were only half-right. Photograph: Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images

If you have to forecast, American economist Edgar Fiedler once quipped, forecast often. If you get a big call right, it will never be forgotten. And i(...)

Polling expert Nate Silver said apparent e-voting disparities  disappeared after race and education levels, which most closely tracked voting shifts nationwide, were controlled for. Photograph: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg

A growing number of academics and activists are calling for US authorities to fully audit or recount the 2016 presidential election vote in key battle(...)

As markets rallied following Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election, Wall Street changed its previously bearish tune. Photograph: Alex Kraus/Bloomberg

What will the US presidency of Donald Trump mean for stock markets? An honest observer would note the unpredictability of recent events and admit: I (...)

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump speaks during a rally at the Sioux City Convention Center in Sioux City, Iowa on November 6, 2016. Donald Trump barnstorms five states Sunday while Hillary Clinton implores her most fervent supporters to get to the polls, in a frenetic final 48-hour dash to the US presidential election. / AFP PHOTO / MANDEL NGANMANDEL NGAN/AFP/Getty Images

Not many people – this columnist included – believed Donald Trump’s assertion that stocks would “go great” if he was elected president. But go great (...)

The average household income of a Trump voter in the primaries was about $72,000. Photographs: Getty Images

Mike Davis drove four hours north from Atlanta, Georgia to hear Donald Trump speak in Asheville, North Carolina last month. Standing in the long queue(...)

Screengrab of video released by the “Washington Post” showing Donald Trump (centre) and former   “Access Hollywood” co-anchor  Billy Bush meeting soap star Arianne Zucker:  A  recent NBC News/SurveyMonkey survey   indicates that  36 per cent of college educated men in the US   – regardless of ethnicity –  support Trump

Perhaps the most shocking revelation (from an abundance) to come out of the endlessly bizarre US presidential election was contained in tweets and an (...)

Bailey McDaniel wipes off the side of the campaign bus of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump before his campaign rally at the South Florida Fair & Expo Center in West Palm Beach, Florida. Photograph: Joe Raedle/Getty Images

Women are used to having their concerns about sexism and misogyny and gender bias and discrimination ignored, undermined, or shouted down, so in a wei(...)

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump kisses a ‘Women for Trump’ placard during a rally  in Lakeland, Florida on October 12th, 2016. Photograph: Mandel Ngan/AFP/Getty Images

A campaign to revoke women’s right to vote in the United States is trending on Twitter after poll figures showed Donald Trump would win the election i(...)

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