Opinion poll analysis: Labour rather than Sinn Féin challenge Fine Gael in their traditional stronghold

Votes for Government parties holding up in ‘satisfied suburbs’

Since battle commenced in the Dublin Bay South byelection campaign called after Eoghan Murphy’s retirement from politics, observers and some participants have billed it as a contest between Fine Gael and Sinn Féin.

And Fine Gael’s James Geoghegan, fighting in what is a traditional stronghold for the party, certainly faces a strong challenge. But on the basis of today’s special Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI byelection poll in the constituency, his challenger will be Labour’s Ivana Bacik, rather than Sinn Féin’s Lynn Boylan.

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