Election 2020: Exit poll confirms health, housing, homelessness of most concern to voters

Inside Politics: Ipsos MRBI poll shows desire among third of electorate for marked change in direction

 

Good morning and welcome to a special Election 2020 political digest, on the day of the general election count.

An Ipsos MRBI exit poll conducted on behalf of The Irish Times, RTÉ, TG4 and UCD yesterday confirms that the issues of issues of health, homelessness and housing dominated voters’ minds in this election to a very high degree.

Health was the major issue for a third of all respondents while housing and homelessness was the main issue for 26 per cent.

Jobs and the economy - which has been traditionally the major issue - was the priority for only 6 per cent, while climate change and pension age were key issues for 6 per cent and 8 per cent respectively.

That said, four out of five of voters polled said the ability to manage the economy efficiently was very important to them.

The big theme of this campaign was change and that was borne out by the poll’s findings. Only one in five voters thought it best to continue with Government and that reflected the Fine Gael share of the vote.

Against this, almost half of voters thought change was needed.

Moreover, a further 31 per cent were of the opinion that “country needs a radical change in direction”.

That shows that there is a desire amongst a third of the electorate for a marked change in direction.

While the macro figures show very low employment and impressive growth figures year on year, it is evident that a clear majority of people do not feel that benefit.

Some 63 per cent said that the benefit in the economy does not apply to them, with a further 37 per cent accepting they had benefitted. Again, it roughly corresponds with the support levels for Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil.

Question: How important was party leader to how you voted?
Question: How important was party leader to how you voted?
Question: How important was the ability to manage the economy to how you voted?
Question: How important was the ability to manage the economy to how you voted?

Likewise, two thirds of voters polled were of the view that spending out-trumped tax reduction as an issue.

In terms of the relationship of Sinn Féin with the more traditional parties, there were starkly divided views. A small majority (51 per cent) were favourably disposed to discussion around a coalition, with 45 per cent against.

On the question of a referendum on a united Ireland, there was a clear majority in favour - 57 per cent - compared to 40 per cent against.

Best reads

Former Irish Times political editor Stephen Collins analyses the implications of the exit poll, noting that it marks the end of Ireland’s political duopoly.

Stephen also has a deep dive into the exit poll data and looks at the answers to each of the 15 questions posed by pollsters to voters on Saturday.

Live coverage of the Election 2020 count on irishtimes.com.

The Irish Times is providing live coverage of every count on Sunday and Monday with reporters in every count centre providing rolling updates as they are announced.

Our liveblog will bring you instant updates from all the counts on mobile, tablet or desktop.

Results: Every count as it happens in our Results Hub.

Podcasts: Listen to our expert commentators explain the unfolding results

Video: Can’t make it to a count centre? Watch the drama with us here.

Analysis: Our experts will explain what it all means.

On Monday, our live coverage of the remaining counts will continue on irishtimes.com. The Irish Times will publish a General Election 2020 Results supplement in the newspaper with details from every constituency.

The election at your fingertips: Social: Follow us on @IrishTimes
and on Facebook.

The Irish Times Logo
Commenting on The Irish Times has changed. To comment you must now be an Irish Times subscriber.
SUBSCRIBE
GO BACK
Error Image
The account details entered are not currently associated with an Irish Times subscription. Please subscribe to sign in to comment.
Comment Sign In

Forgot password?
The Irish Times Logo
Thank you
You should receive instructions for resetting your password. When you have reset your password, you can Sign In.
The Irish Times Logo
Please choose a screen name. This name will appear beside any comments you post. Your screen name should follow the standards set out in our community standards.
Screen Name Selection

Hello

Please choose a screen name. This name will appear beside any comments you post. Your screen name should follow the standards set out in our community standards.

The Irish Times Logo
Commenting on The Irish Times has changed. To comment you must now be an Irish Times subscriber.
SUBSCRIBE
Forgot Password
Please enter your email address so we can send you a link to reset your password.

Sign In

Your Comments
We reserve the right to remove any content at any time from this Community, including without limitation if it violates the Community Standards. We ask that you report content that you in good faith believe violates the above rules by clicking the Flag link next to the offending comment or by filling out this form. New comments are only accepted for 3 days from the date of publication.