Rising rents and property prices are a double whammy for younger age groups and there is a real danger this is going to get worse before it starts to get better. Photograph: Frank Miller

Even with jobs, youth caught in backwash of collapse and recovery with house prices

For Ireland the important thing is to get something signed up to by both the UK and EU which will ensure no return of a ‘hard Border’ no matter what way the Brexit talks end. Photograph: Paul Faith/AFP/Getty Images.

Regulatory divergence may not get the heart racing but is a key issue in these talks

“When house prices are rising at 12-13 per cent per annum at the same time as earnings are rising at 2-3 per cent, the dangers are pretty clear.” Photograph: Frank Miller

Nasty property squeeze could become bubble if Central Bank does not keep lid on lending

Affordability data suggests that single buyers in particular face a squeeze in Dublin, with mortgage repayments now often taking well over a third of an average disposable income.  Photograph: Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg

Analysis: why do people find it so hard to afford to buy or rent homes?

British pound is now moving back into dangerous territory for Irish exports

Exchequer figures released on Friday show that tax payments in September beat the official target by more than €300 million. Photograph: Frank Miller

Finance Bill change may have resulted from uncovering of specific tax avoidance schemes

An anti Brexit poster in Newry: the Brexit process is a lose-lose nightmare for the Government. Photograph: Aidan Crawley

While we hope for progress in trade and Border talks, the goal is damage limitation

A protocol official  changes the EU and British flags at EU headquarters in Brussels. EU negotiators believe the North will have to remain subject to EU trading rules to avoid the return of a Border on the island of Ireland. Photograph: Virginia Mayo/AP.

Dublin risks being pushed into corner unless issue is sorted later rather than sooner

Michael Noonan: in the 2015 budget, he ended the double Irish tax scheme and abolished the 80 per cent rule so firms could claim tax relief on up to 100 per cent of profits from their IP investment. Photograph: Jock Fistick/Bloomberg

Change in tax treatment of intellectual property and subsequent and reversal hard to fathom

Thumbs up from Donald Trump: the US economy may grow more than 4 per cent  this year. Photograph:  Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images

Trump – one year on: Given the president has not implemented promised policies, it is clear he inherited a strengthening economy

We have some leverage now on the Border issue. We can’t let is quietly slip down the order of priorities if these talks are to progress as this could potentially leave us exposed to pressure to compromise somewhere down the road

We have heard more than enough nonsense about frictionless and seamless borders

US president Donald Trump shows samples of the proposed new tax form. Tax proposals emanating from Brussels appear to carry much more danger for Ireland.

Cliff Taylor: It is unclear whether latest US tax plan will clear Congress

The Central Bank of Ireland: The bank has been broken up and put back together again over the years.  It is hard to see another divorce achieving much. Photograph: Alan Betson

Splitting the Central Bank up again is not the answer. Changes are needed in regulation and in the bank boardrooms.

President of the European Central Bank Mario Draghi speaks to media. Photograph: Armando Babani/EPA

Despite cut to economic stimulus, any rise in the ECB rate is unlikely until 2019 at earliest

Central Bank governor Philip Lane: his institution can make life awkward for the banks. Photograph: Eric Luke

Cliff Taylor: There’s a long way to go as customers affected set to surpass 20,000

Central Bank of Ireland: its governor, Philip Lane, says banks were interpreting contracts to their own advantage. Photograph: Gareth Chaney/Collins

Cliff Taylor: Where moral suasion fails, use fitness and probity powers

The Finance Bill provides for legislative changes to introduce new processes for employers and the Revenue, under a PAYE modernisation programme.

Workers to get full entitlements faster as allowances and credits updated in real time

Minister for Finance Paschal Donohoe: He can harangue the banks. But will he give the Central Bank new powers? Photograph: Dara Mac Dónaill

Cliff Taylor: Quiet acceptance emerged that customers could be charged a bit extra

“Nobody had the slightest idea that ECB rates were going to collapse from 4.25 per cent in summer 2008 to just 1 per cent the following April. Trackers moved from being expensive for the borrower to become a crippling cost on lenders.” Photograph: Ralph Orlowski/Reuters

Scrapping of trackers in 2008 used to justify refusal to offer them to existing borrowers

The Finance Bill will include the extension of an existing tax relief to cover most transactions taking place within families. Photograph: Getty Images

Special 1% rate applies to transfer of land within families, with age restriction abolished

There was fury in London at a sentence in the OECD document which said that if the Brexit decision was reversed, “the positive impact on growth would be significant.”

Intervention puts stark numbers on what a hard Brexit could mean - which in turn underlines the threat to Ireland’s growth prospec(...)

Hurricane winds collapsed a stand at Turners Cross, Cork city during Storm Ophelia. Photograph: Daragh Mc Sweeney/Provision

Cork begins to assess damage as red warning remains in operation throughout the country

Minister for Finance Paschal Donohoe: promised in his budget speech to “do this differently” in future. Photograph: Brian Lawless/PA Wire

Paschal Donohoe risks finding boom and bust a hard habit to break

Prof Tim Callan of the  the ESRI found bigger adjustments to the tax system would have been needed to ensure  expected wage inflation did not eat into the value of wage increases. Photograph: Cyril Byrne

Institute finds expected wage rises not factored in

The failure to index the tax system fully for wage inflation means a bit more of any wage increase will go in tax. Photograph: iStock

Wage rises mean burden won’t fall for many despite budget measures

Apple is amongst the multinationals believed to have moved intellectual property to Ireland over the past couple of years. Such moves were a key factor behind the huge jump in Irish GDP in 2015.

Move will raise more money in the short term from multinational sector in Ireland

Gains of €5 a week for single middle income taxpayers – or €10 a week for double income couples – are not going to add noticeably to spending in the economy next year.

Analysis: Government left hoping that threat of Brexit does not upset the sums

While the gains and losses from income tax and USC changes on one side versus excise and other hikes on the other will depend on individual habits, the net gains for people’s incomes will be limited.

How to work out the impact for you as the Budget is announced

Contacts are believed to have been made with the major companies over the change to the regime. Photograph: iStock

Move on multinational tax arrangements expected to be announced in the Budget

 Raising new money will allow some things to be done. A way will be found to put say €6 to €8 extra a week in people’s pockets from tax cuts

Brexit has complicated the search for revenue, but there will be enough for some key tax and spending changes

Figures showing the massive contribution of a few companies to the Irish exchequer are eliciting envious glances elsewhere in Europe

Tensions flare between Brussels and Dublin as the European Commission turns up the heat

Irish beef: Ireland’s food sector could have to compete on equal terms with big players like Argentina and New Zealand. Photograph: Aidan Crawley/Bloomberg

Cliff Taylor: The details will be hugely important for Irish businesses

Michael O’Leary “has a few months – but no longer – to sort out the extraordinary mess that has hit Ryanair”. Photograph: Niall Carson/PA Wire

Ryanair faces a crucial few months as it fights to sort its pilot problems

Cliff Taylor: However as the only English-speaking country in the EU post-Brexit, with a large number of established American companies, we still have a strong enough hand to play.

Cliff Taylor: Trump’s proposal of a 20% rate could slow the amount of overseas investment

Taoiseach, Leo Varadkar who said on Monday he would try and resist any sharp increased in property tax rates. Photograph: Getty

Analysis: Taoiseach doesn’t need to battle for homeowners. He can just decide, if Dáil agrees

The property tax is only 1 per cent of tax revenue. The economic argument would be to let it drift up over the years and use the cash to cut income tax, or fund key projects. Photograph: Bryan O’Brien

The balance of opinion in some councils is that there may be more votes in better services

The Independents, including John Halligan, claimed a great victory when Government agreed to a review of corporation tax. Photograph: Cyril Byrne

The changing mood towards the State’s tax regime presents opportunities and dangers

Paschal Donohoe: looks set to reimpose the cap on tax write-downs companies can claim relating to intellectual property assets. Photograph: Brenda Fitzsimons

Paschal Donohoe must resist calls from some of the Ireland Inc lobby to slow reform

The European Union flag flies outside the European Commission building in Brussels: in a landmark decision the commission found that Apple owed the Irish Government over €13bn plus interest for unpaid tax. Photograph: Jasper Juinen/Bloomberg

Looming new corporate tax proposals open up another battlefront for Ireland

John McNamee, dressed as a customs worker, joins other members of Border Communities Against Brexit in setting up an old customs post at Carrickcarnon, between Dundalk and Newry. Photograph: Dara Mac Dónaill

Europe and the UK are placing higher priority on other issues in the Brexit talks

Minister for Finance Paschal Donohoe indicated that the Government would press ahead with its plan to merge USC and PRSI

Minister for Finance hints at budget provisions in speech to Kennedy Summer School

Protesters wearing European Union flag masks take part in an anti-Brexit demonstration outside the Houses of Parliament in Westminster. Photograph: Victoria Jones/PA Wire

Central issue is how to control movement of goods entering Britain from other countries

While a big increase on tax on tobacco is a racing certainty for the budget, recent evidence suggests that high taxes may be affecting buying behaviour. Photograph: Jonathan Brady/PA Wire

PAYE tax credit change would put higher earners in the firing line

Traffic heading northbound on the M50. Photograph: Alan Betson

The upturn has brought traffic to a standstill. Big decisions are needed – fast

Slumping sterling: yesterday’s rate of more than 93p means the UK currency has fallen more than 10p against the euro since April. Photograph: Matt Cardy/Getty

Cliff Taylor: Even if euro parity isn’t on the cards, the exchange rate is hurting business

Banks charge an average of 3.55 per cent for a mortgage in the Republic, compared with the 1.87 per cent average across the EU.

Millennial squeeze driven by high costs of rent, mortgages and childcare

Brexit may damage Government attempts to keep voters on board. Photograph: Getty

If Britain is heading for a hard Brexit, we will be seeing economic nerves by next year

This graphic shows the change in the number of properties listed as available to rent on housing website Daft over the last 11 years.

Analysis: two-tier market is emerging with existing tenants slow to move due to fears of rent rises

 Britain’s Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union David Davis and European Union’s chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier. Photograph: Francois Lenoir/Reuters

Britain will use Border as level to try to progress talks on post-Brexit trade deals

European Commission warned that if Britain leaves the customs union and the single market, as it has said it will, then the concept of a frictionless Border “is not possible.”

Cliff Taylor: EU Commission is unlikely to sign up unless it is happy that the Border is reasonably sound

The key issue is how to control goods entering Britain from third countries and ensure the correct rules and tariffs are applied before they enter the EU. Photograph: Glyn Kirk/AFP/Getty

Cliff Taylor: Plan will not survive contact with enemy when negotiators get to Brussels

Cars driving through UK Border Control checkpoints at Calais ferry port in France. The risk is of Britain leaving the EU at the end of March 2019 with no agreement on what happens next. Were this to happen, customs checks would immediately be needed between Britain and the EU - including at the Irish border.

UK proposes transition period on leaving EU to allow for new trade deal to be agreed

The Irish Border is one of three issues on which progress is meant to be made before talks start on a new UK/EU trade deal. Photograph: Getty Images

Cliff Taylor: we need to keeping telling the Conservatives and the DUP we await their Border proposals

 A mock customs post set up in February by anti-Brexit campaigners at Ravensdale, Co Louth, to highlight concerns about the impact on trade. Photograph:   Niall Carson/PA Wire

Cliff Taylor: firms must factor in costs for a hard Brexit while hoping it never happens

Dole queues in Cork. Photograph: Daragh Mac Sweeney/Provision

Department of Social Protection indicates rise in all areas may not be possible

Water supplied to the community by the local council in Drogheda, Co Louth, following a pipe burst.  Photograph: Niall Carson/PA Wire

TDs need to take responsibility for the consequences of capitulating on water charges

Former taoiseach Bertie Ahern, pictured in Dublin this week, is correct when he says that a year has been wasted in terms of looking for a Brexit border solution. Photograph: Gareth Chaney Collins

Tensions over the Border after Brexit highlight key economic risks

Shoppers pn Grafton Streetin Dublin. The number of people at work is on track to soon return to pre-crisis levels. Photograph: iStock

No Brexit hit yet, but Central Bank has cautious eye on future

The Central Bank is expecting a 3 per cent rise this year in the numbers at work Photograph: Alan Betson

Cliff Taylor: Bank still worried about ‘negative and material’ impact of Brexit

Speaker of the House Paul Ryan: a member of the ‘Big Six’ that released statement on proposed border adjustment tax. Photograph: Aaron P Bernstein/Reuters

Plan would have posed long-term threat to foreign direct investment in Ireland

The falling value of the dollar is a negative for US tourists arriving in Ireland at peak season and also for Irish indigenous exporters to the US market.

Falling dollar is good news for those heading to the US on holidays

The saga of the charges and conservation grant will cost the State around €120m

 New figures by the CSO show  the domestic economy is continuing to grow strongly as people are spending more. Photograph: Getty Images

Cliff Taylor: Stripping out big multinationals presents a different picture of the economy

Taoiseach Leo Varadkar and Minister for Finance Paschal Donohoe. Photograph: Dara Mac Dónaill

Cliff Taylor: Paschal Donohoe has options but faces effects of years of underinvestment

Computer generated image of Metro North. The Government is committed to increasing capital expenditure including roads, schools and transport infrastructure

Scope in Budget 2018 for new spending and tax cuts will be slightly more than €300m

Minister for Finance and Public Expenditure Paschal Donohoe. Photo: EPA

Move reflects ‘altered economic circumstances’ Minister for Finance says

Minister for Finance Paschal Donohoe arrives for a Eurogroup meeting in Brussels, Belgium. Photograph: Olivier Hoslet

We desperately need new infrastructure, but we cannot allow special interests to dictate it

Minister for Communications Denis Naughten announcing the broadband plan last April.  File photograph: Cyril Byrne

Irish politicians cannot afford to delay delivery of decent connections any longer

Former minister for finance Michael Noonan in 2016 with Simon Harris and Dublin Fine Gael candidates Anne-Marie Dermody, Naoise Ó Muiri, Kate O Connell and Catherine Byrne, announcing plans to abolish the USC by 2020.

Cliff Taylor: As ever, of course, voters will have one question: ‘What’s in it for me? ’

A mock customs post set up by anti-Brexit campaigners at Ravensdale, Co Louth, to highlight concerns about the impact on trade. Photograph: Niall Carson/PA Wire

North remaining in EU customs union is only way to solve riddle of having no hard Border

Philip Lane: he said one of the most attractive features Ireland could have for inward investment was a reputation for high-quality regulation

Philip Lane says regulator not responsible for promoting financial services sector

Eoghan Murphy, former minister of State at the Department of Finance, had accused other jurisdictions of regulatory arbitrage. Photograph: Cyril Byrne

Central Bank’s independence should not be impinged in bid to win inward investment

Faced with the complexities of Brexit’s impact, firm business planning is impossible. Photograph: iStock

The phoney war is over and there will be big shifts into and out of Ireland, says Cliff Taylor

Taoiseach Leo Varadkar. “The new Taoiseach needs to set Brexit preparation as the key economic priority.” Photograph: Aidan Crawley/Bloomberg

Political debate disappears down a rabbit hole each year as budget day approaches

A graph on a trader’s screen on the trading floor of ETX Capital in London shows the fall of pound sterling when the first UK election exit poll was released. Photograph: Glyn Kirk/AFP/Getty Images

Value of sterling, nature of Brexit and implications for island of Ireland all critical

The UK election has changed the game, no matter what Theresa May says about it now being business as usual. Photograph: Andy Rain/EPA

UK’s election result may mean its EU exit will not be as hard and damaging as we feared

Market uncertainty: traders will take their direction from political developments that could take some time to unfold, but some volatile moves are possible. Photograph: Clodagh Kilcoyne/Reuters

Cliff Taylor: We are deep into the realm of unknown unknowns about Brexit

 Minister for Finance Michael Noonan will leave the office with State’s economy in much better shape than when he took over. File photograph: Eric Luke/The Irish Times

Minister for Finance’s success in navigating bailout sowed seeds of controversy to follow

The UK currency dropped in the immediate wake of the exit poll by 2 per cent against the US dollar and the euro and was trading around 1.5 per cent lower an hour later. File photograph:  Daniel Leal-Olivas/AFP/Getty Images

UK currency drops in immediate wake of prediction by 2% against euro and US dollar

British Prime Minister Theresa May fell short of an overall majority

Euro climbs to over 88p in a move which will worry Irish exporters to the UK

For public servants, the pay deal delivers average rises of 6.6 per cent by 2020, or just over 2 per cent a year.

Deal will cost €180m next year and more in subsequent two years

Lloyds of London won’t be moving to Dublin, having chosen Brussels as its post-EU base.

With QBE and Lloyds choosing Brussels, time is running out to lure big financial firms here

Lloyds building in London. Lloyds will set up its EU base in Brussels

Cliff Taylor: Move by QBE to choose Brussels shows tough competition for Dublin

AIB headquarters, Dublin: the bank group made profits of more than €1.6 billion last year, allowing the planned stockmarket float to go ahead. Photograph: Bryan O’Brien

Flotation is underpinned by margins in excess of European norms and little competition

For the year to date income tax remains just over €200m   behind target. Photograph: iStock

Income tax is still behind and it is a mystery given the strong employment growth

AIB headquarters in Ballsbridge: If the Government sells its stake too cheaply and shares rocket after the float, it will be criticised. Photograph: Bryan O’Brien

State’s case to EU to loosen rules on infrastructure spending does not hinge on AIB

Former  Anglo Irish Bank chairman Seán FitzPatrick leaving  Dublin Circuit Criminal Court on Wednesday, after he  was acquitted on all charges  of misleading  auditors. Photograph: Collins Courts

Jaw-dropping errors have shaken public’s faith in handling of banking crisis

The two Fine Gael leadership candidates are both promising to reduce the tax burden, but they both also want to increase spending. They won’t have much scope to pursue this agenda in the Budget because the numbers just won’t add up. Fle photograph: Getty Images

FG contest: Due to EU fiscal rules and economic crisis there’s little room for error on Budget

 Leo Varadkar: says he favours a less onerous    ratio of national debt to GDP of 55%

FG leadership contender says move needed to free more cash for capital investment

Taoiseach Enda Kenny is to get an annual pension of €126,000 and an up-front lump sum of €378,000 when he retires as a TD. Photograph: Cyril Byrne

Favourable tax treatment enhances generous terms for retiring politicians

Taoiseach Enda Kenny: entitled a pension of about €126,000 a year, plus a lump sum on retirement of €378,000, the Dáil was told. Photograph: Cyril Byrne

Retiring politicians and public servants also benefit from favourable tax rules

Taoiseach Enda Kenny arrives at a European Union summit in Brussels in 2011 where leaders met to work out a deal to resolve the euro zone debt crisis and find a way to give the bloc’s bailout fund greater firepower. File photograph: Thierry Roge/Reuters

Post-bailout, pre-Brexit Ireland may be as good as it gets in terms of tax and spending

Michel Barnier, the European Commission’s chief negotiator on Brexit, with  Taoiseach Enda Kenny at Government Buildings on Thursday. Photograph: Paul Faith/Reuters

Ireland needs to be Brexit peacemaker to keep talks on track and prevent collapse

Brexit: The IMF has called on the Government to ensure it has room for budgetary manoeuvre. Photograph: Getty Images

Significant resources must be set aside in readiness for impending risks, warns IMF

US president Donald Trump thinks Ireland has done a good job in getting through the crisis by not increasing taxes. Photograph: Reuters

President Trump’s comments may have related to Ireland’s policy on corporate tax

At lower pay levels, those in the public sector earn 15%  more than their private sector counterparts. At higher pay levels, the cash amounts are almost exactly reversed, with those in the private sector doing better

Difference between public and private sectors has closed due to cuts in public pay

A television screen displays news footage relating to the result of France’s presidential election, as traders works on the trading floor of ETX Capital in London on May 8th. Photograph: Chris Ratcliffe/AFP/Getty Images

However, in these turbulent times, political risk has not been removed from the financial markets

There is probably close to two new buyers for every one new house on average. The housing squeeze, in other words, is getting squeezier.  Photograph: Cyril Byrne

The lack of adequate houses at all levels is one of the biggest issues Ireland faces

Britain’s Prime Minister Theresa May  and European Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker. If the talks collapse, it will be hard hat time. Photograph: Hannah McKay/Reuters

Irish business leaders will be watching nervously to see which way the talks go

A Border Communities Against Brexit protest at Government Buildings highlighted some of the issues facing the State. Photograph: Cyril Byrne

New strategy document also calls for help to manage period before new trade deal agreed

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