US trade deficit narrows as goods imports near 5-year low

Trade gap fell 5% to $42.4 bn in November as October deficit revised up to $44.6bn

Container ships unload their cargo at the Port of Oakland in California

Container ships unload their cargo at the Port of Oakland in California

 

The US trade deficit narrowed in November likely as efforts by businesses to reduce an inventory overhang pushed imports of goods to their lowest level in nearly five years, outpacing a drop in exports.

The Commerce Department said on Wednesday the trade gap fell 5 per cent to $42.4 billion. October’s trade deficit was revised up to $44.6 billion from the previously reported $43.9 billion.

Despite the shrinking trade deficit, declining exports are the latest indication that economic growth braked sharply in the fourth quarter. While inventories likely accounted for much of the drop in imports, the weakness could also be pointing to a slowdown in domestic demand, which was flagged by weak December car sales.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the trade gap widening to $44 billion in November. When adjusted for inflation, the deficit fell to $59.60 billion from $61.03 billion in October.

Trade, which subtracted 0.26 percentage point from gross domestic product in the third quarter, is likely to have remained a drag on growth in the fourth quarter.

A strong dollar and the inventory bloat, which has left businesses with little appetite to order more merchandise, have combined with spending cuts in the energy sector to take some steam out of the economy in recent months.

Economists this week slashed their fourth-quarter GDP growth estimates by as much as one percentage point to as low as a 0.5 per cent annual pace, which also accounted for unseasonably warm weather that has impacted on sales of winter apparel and other merchandise.

The economy grew at a 2 per cent annual rate in the third quarter.

Businesses accumulated a record pile of inventory in the first half of 2015, which was unmatched by demand, leaving warehouses bulging with unsold goods.

Imports

Imports of goods dropped 2 per cent to $183.5 billion in November, the lowest level since February 2011. Imports of industrial supplies and materials were the weakest since May 2009. There were also declines in imports of capital and consumer goods. Car imports, however, rose.

Lower oil prices as well as increased domestic energy production also helped to curb the import bill. The price of petrol averaged $39.24 per barrel in November. That was the lowest level since February 2009 and down from $40.12 in October and $82.92 in November 2014.

The dollar gained almost 10 per cent against the currencies of the United States’ main trading partners last year, eroding the appeal of US-made goods overseas. Lacklustre global demand also has put a damper on exports.

Goods exports slipped 1.1 per cent to $122.2 billion in November, the lowest since June 2011.

Exports of industrial supplies and materials hit their lowest level in five years, while petrol exports were the weakest since December 2010. Exports of non-petrol products dropped to their lowest level since June 2011.

The decline in exports to the United States’ main trading partners was nearly broad-based in November. But the politically sensitive US-China trade deficit fell 5.2 per cent to $31.3 billion in November.

Reuters