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Thu 10 Oct 2008US team warns of fresh ethnic violence in Iraq

THE TEAM preparing the latest US intelligence analysis of the situation in Iraq warns that ethnic and sectarian tensions could erupt into fresh violence, reversing security and political advances made over the past 20 months.

The 16 agencies drafting the National Intelligence Estimate, due to be presented to the White House shortly, agree that the "surge" strategy has not put the US "on a path to victory" and questions the wisdom of withdrawing US troops before stability is bolstered by solid political gains on the ground.

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