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  • Irish Times poll on Lisbon – mind the gap!

    September 4, 2009 @ 8:41 am | by Harry McGee

    The gap is closing. But as last year, it’s in which direction the don’t knows jumpthat will determine this referendum.

    Some 46 per cent backing the treaty isn’t where the Yes camp thought they would be at this stage of the game. The only consolation that they can take from the eight point drop in support is that it has not migrated to the No camp but rather into the Don’t Know group. But the experience of last year will show us that even though there is a 17 per cent gap between Yes and No, which is at 29 per cent, that gap is not insuperable.

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  • Never underestimate the voter etc

    September 2, 2009 @ 5:02 pm | by Harry McGee

    As a quick follow-on to this morning, there are a number of strands to the Fianna Fail campaign other than the nuclear option of: vote Yes or else we’re all goners. Brian Cowen’s delivery of the speech won’t have Barack Obama quaking in his boots but the content was interesting… and substantial (devoid of a lot of the cliched guff to which he can be prone). You can read it for yourself HERE . 

    So here are my own observations, without having had the luxury of proper contemplation.

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  • Lisbon

    May 18, 2009 @ 4:12 pm | by Harry McGee

    I thought that support for a Yes vote in the second Lisbon referendum later this year would be higher. But the 52 per cent revealed in today’s poll (see story here) indicates to me that it’s all over bar the shouting.

    Mary Lou McDonald said today that the poll was taken before the campaign has even started, or before the issues have been determined/thrashed out. (more…)


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