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  • An unremarkable recovery and a remarkable outburst

    January 22, 2010 @ 11:49 am | by Harry McGee

    poll.jpg

    A little more on the poll. I don’t know if the word stoic can be transferred to a political body. But in a sense all the political parties have remained stoic in the face of all the dramatic events of the past four months. The swings up and down are all within the margin of error. (more…)

  • Irish Times poll on Lisbon – mind the gap!

    September 4, 2009 @ 8:41 am | by Harry McGee

    The gap is closing. But as last year, it’s in which direction the don’t knows jumpthat will determine this referendum.

    Some 46 per cent backing the treaty isn’t where the Yes camp thought they would be at this stage of the game. The only consolation that they can take from the eight point drop in support is that it has not migrated to the No camp but rather into the Don’t Know group. But the experience of last year will show us that even though there is a 17 per cent gap between Yes and No, which is at 29 per cent, that gap is not insuperable.

    (more…)

  • Where is the silver lining? And a bit on NAMA…

    September 3, 2009 @ 4:34 pm | by Harry McGee

    There is none. Silver lining that is. See the bit on NAMA at the end.

    We have the result of the next election already and it is this: change of government. The only question is: when. Some of my colleagues believe as early as the New Year. I say the end of 2010, at the earliest.

    (more…)

  • The Irish Times poll

    May 14, 2009 @ 10:56 pm | by Harry McGee

    The figures are dismal for Fianna Fáil. There is no gloss on it. The two byelections will be lost. They will lose at least one MEP in the European elections. They will realise that the nadir of the local elections in 2004 was not really a nadir. THIS is a nadir.

    For a year we have looked at this administration as it has floated further and further out from shore and said; they are possibly waving. Really we should have been saying they are probably drowning. (more…)

  • A snapshot in time?

    February 14, 2009 @ 2:27 pm | by Harry McGee

    If by chance monsoon rains had fallen on Friday and the carpark of Leinster House was under several metres of water, it would not have deterred Eamon Gilmore. He would have waded through it  (or maybe walked on it!) without breaking a stride in order to get to the scrum of reporters waiting on the plinth (a raised platform outside the front of Leinster House where most media interviews take place) (more…)


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