The poll: green shoots for coalition?
Below are extracts from Stephen Collins’ report on the poll. In a broader context Government figures are dismal but they can take some consolation from it. Nama and the Late Late have helped a little. Core vote has increased to 18, on a par with Labour. Still doomed to opposition, of course. The real question is how much of a beating will FF and the Greens take? And when it will happen?
“Brian Cowen’s satisfaction rating is up eight points to 23 per cent but 70 per cent of voters are still dissatisfied with the way he is doing his job.
When people were asked who they would vote for if there were a general election tomorrow, the adjusted figures for party support, compared with the last Irish Times poll on September 3rd were: Fianna Fáil, 20 per cent (up 3 points); Fine Gael, 31 per cent (down 3 points); Labour, 25 per cent (up 1 point); Sinn Féin, 9 per cent (down 1 point); Green Party, 4 per cent (up 1 point); and Independents/others, 11 per cent (down 1 point).
The poll was taken on Tuesday and Wednesday of this week among a representative sample of 1,000 voters aged 18 and over in face-to-face interviews at 100 sampling points in all 43 constituencies. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 per cent.
The core vote for the parties (before undecided voters are excluded) compared with the last Irish Times poll was: Fianna Fáil, 18 per cent (up 2 points); Fine Gael, 23 per cent (down 3 points); Labour, 18 per cent (no change); Sinn Féin, 9 per cent (no change); Green Party, 3 per cent (up 1 point); Independents/ others, 8 per cent (down 1 point); and undecided voters 21 per cent (up 1 point).