
Members of an environmentalist group pretend to be dead during a protest demanding a real climate deal on the first day of the UN Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen. Photograph: Miguel Villagran/Getty Images.
What do Copenhagen and Dublin have in common? Probably quite a few things. At the moment, the biggest might be that they are both sites of struggle over distribution. In Dublin’s case, what is being distributed are the costs of Ireland’s economic recovery. In the case of Copenhagen, it is the distribution of the benefits of industrialisation and the burden of the planet’s upkeep.
I don’t often agree with The Economist’s take on things, but their analysis of the situation in Copenhagen is, in my opinion, spot on. In an article titled Stopping climate change, the newspaper writes:
…The problem is not a lack of low-carbon technologies. Electricity can be generated by nuclear fission, hydropower, biomass, wind and solar energy; and cars and lorries can run on electricity or biofuels. Nor is the problem an economic one. A percentage point of global economic output is affordable for a worthwhile project. Saving the banks has cost around 5% of global output.
So the problem is both simpler and cheaper to fix than most people think. But mankind has to agree on how to share out the costs, both between and within countries…
It is only fair to point out that the science of climate change – especially the idea that human activity is responsible – is a contested field. Let’s therefore assume that there is only a strong possibility that our industrial activity currently poses a grave challenge to the future of the planet. Let’s also assume that The Economist is wrong and that correcting for climate change will cost something like 20% of global GDP. Doesn’t the same rationale that leads me to buy insurance still force us to take the potential threat of the ecological disaster seriously enough to fork out that 20%?
If it does, who should pay? What does ‘global justice’ require? If the current consensus is right, if climate change is man made and disproportionately affects the poorest nations, then as things stand, wealth is unjustly being transferred from the poor to the rich. As things stand, the poor are paying for my lattes, high-speed broadband, and for my relatively cheap fuel by way of the destruction of their natural environment and the problems that creates – food insecurity, political instability, and others.
And supposing the politicians in Denmark come to the same conclusion, what then? Is it the biggest polluters, or the people who consume their products who have a moral responsibility to pay for the damage they’ve done? Is it possible to separate self-interest and greed from such ethical considerations? Do the delegates have a responsibility to anyone other than the citizens they represent? Should this be an opportunity for the transfer of wealth back to the poor nations?
If what has come out of Dublin thus far is anything to go by, the outcome will lead to a distribution of wealth along the lines of the current distribution of power. In other words, I don’t think Copenhagen will bring about very much substantial change. Poor people don’t tend to have very much power and the environment is easy to ignore – especially when you don’t live in a drought-prone area.