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  • irishtimes.com - Posted: January 4, 2010 @ 9:00 pm

    2010 pessimism

    Bryan

    Regular readers of this blog may find the next statement hard to believe. I am, by nature, an optimist. Really, I am. But over the course of 2009, a cloud of pessimism settled over me. And to be honest, I don’t see it lifting over the course of the coming 12 months.

    Here’s an example of where my negativity stems from. Based on conversations with a mix of people in Belfast, it seems as though one of the largest determinants to peace and stability is economic well-being. Money, or more precisely, the process of pursing ‘the good life’ with a reasonable expectation of one day attaining it, can be positively distracting – in a “an idle mind is the devil’s playground” sense. Granted, an argument could be made for the role of things like intrusive body scanners and remote controlled planes that can bomb whole villages to smithereens. But does anyone really think that airport security, a hypertrophied ‘intelligence community’, or wars in far off places will rid the world of people like Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab, let alone the people who armed and trained him?

    Once upon a time, before that great IMF idea that was economic structural adjustment, Zimbabwe was a relatively prosperous little country. We were wealthier than most of our neighbours, so we did our bit to keep out the poorer Malawians and Mozambicans. Those who got into the country were tolerated, but I’m pretty sure we tried to keep them to a minimum. And then the IMF came along and in a relatively brief period of time, income inequality within the country soared. People who were relatively well off built large walls to keep out their poor fellow citizens. For the most part, the walls served their purpose, but with increasing regularity, some found ways over them. They would then help themselves to things they couldn’t otherwise afford while the owners of the big houses were asleep. There came a point where we wrecked the country. Things got so bad that even those living in big houses behind bigger walls began to struggle. So a lot of Zimbabweans, rich and poor alike, made their way to neighbouring and distant countries, sometimes illegally scaling real and metaphorical walls and fences.

    So why am I pessimistic? Because, it’s easier to build, buy and install body scanners and to blow stuff up than to try to understand the world on the other side of our walls. The world seems destined to imitate the likes of Johannesburg and Rio de Janeiro, who have found it easier to live with their fear than address the structures that give birth to their underworld. I’m pessimistic because I get the feeling that we’re a year closer to the day parts of the world are relegated to rubbish heap status, while others become fortified cities.

    But I could be wrong.

    Happy 2010.

  • 16 Comments

    1.
    January 4, 2010
    11:23 pm

    I’m not always in agreement with you Bryan, but you hit the nail on the head here. Too often the media (since we’re on the IT site) becomes enthralled with quick fixes, whether it be cluster bombs or economic sanctions. Only on rare occasions do they do what they are supposed to do, which is inform readers, engage with arguments and discuss and theorise solutions. It seems increasingly so that all they are concerned with is convincing, ‘leading opinion’ as it were, and more often than not they do this willingly or unbeknownst to themselves, on the behalf of elite powers.

    So we are sure to get strings of articles about what are the best tactics to hunt down suspects in Yemen (this process has already begun), but maybe only one or possibly two articles looking at the root cause of this threat and ideas for a workable, ethical and realistic solution.

    I wouldn’t go down this road of pessimism / scepticism, you’ll be sure to find it the quickest way out of a part time job… http://www.mediabite.org/article_In-media-exile—Part-1_313923316.html

    Comment by David
    2.
    January 5, 2010
    1:43 am

    And to add insult to injury, Bryan, they name Cuba as a state sponsor of terrorism! Cuba, about the only country that has absolutely no intension of attacking the USA. Cuba has spent 51 years making sure NOT to give the gringo an excuse to invade, hell, they even tolerate an illegal concentration camp on their soil for fear of upsetting their club wielding neighbour to the north.

    This is GW Bush and the War on Terror all over again. When will they ever learn?

    But there is hope – the Neanderthal neoliberal policies of the IMF that caused such global misery are no longer tolerated. The BRIC countries offer a multi-polar alternative to the five nuclear armed terrorists. And the collapse of Copenhagen is evidence that the rest of the world are no longer prepared to stand by and watch the spoils of globalised terrorism being carved up. A new order is emerging, more democratic, less belligerent and more in tune with the planet and its capacity to support human life. Sure it’s messy and uncertain right now, but that’s the way of human organisations facing revolutionary times.

    The six planet option based on the US consumerist model is just not an option. Apart from a few guys in Washington, the world accepts that there is no planet B.

    All that follows from that is good.

    Comment by Betterworld Now
    3.
    January 5, 2010
    10:30 am

    Brian, I think there is an error in Western thought in that it tends to be linear and incremental, so if a society is in an up wave everything is designed around the idea that the trend goes on for ever. I reckon whoever wrote the story in the bible about the 7 fat year followed by the 7 lean years had a better handle on reality then many people today.
    If you want to be optimistic all you can hope for is that the “greater depression” will be the mother of invention, be it in attitudes to life or how the “powers that be” are allowed to play their great games.

    Comment by Liam
    4.
    January 5, 2010
    10:36 am

    Happy New Year Bryan !

    Pessimism. I would like you to ask Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab why he felt so pessimistic as to try to blow up a plane load of innocent people. Here a decent well brought up young guy was brought to the edge.

    By what ? Not the IMF. Not the global recession. Not the problem of immigration. In fact quite frankly Bryan not by many of the topics we discussed on OutsideIn over the past year.

    His emails suggest a young man in mental torment about what he should or should not believe, and which philosophy of life he should follow. Should he follow the dictates of a fundamentalist theocratic view of human existence (Islam) or an agnostic materialist consumerist view of human nature (the West)?

    The world owes Umar an answer to allow him get his life on track. There are millions of such Umars and Marys, Shaida’s and Jacks out there in Karachi and Kansas.

    Have you never heard the G20 or the IMF discuss Umars problem?. Have you ever heard a single Government discuss it?. The problem of choosing between two such radically different roads in life in a globalised world where both tug at you all the time. Of course not. Not their mandate.

    Umars problem is in his heart and at the very core of his being. It is not in his pocket. it is not in his colour. It is not even in his religion. It is a searing question in a young mans breast crying out for directions to the road to a meaningful life in the 21st century.

    Unless and until the world starts the debate at this level we are doomed. This is not a religious debate but it is a spiritual debate. In the secular world we have abandoned a quest for the spiritual. We believe that everything is explicable in economic terms, social terms, legal terms, cultural terms. No and No and No.

    My big source of disagreement with Richard Dawkins is his view that the “why” question is a stupid question. Why am I here? The answer may be very unsatisfying but the question must be addressed and cannot be hidden under the carpet. Modern secularism scorns the question and thus renders no space and no guidance to allow people to find a metaphysical or “spiritual” space within the confines of secularism. Thus they resort to fundamentalism whether in the evangelical churches of South Carolina or the mosques of Yemen.

    This is the debate the world needs to address to ease Umars pain. But the manner in which the world media glided over his email trail, which clearly shows his pain, without picking up on any of the above ,indicates to me the extent to which the West is blind to the very problem in front of it. And unfortunately political/social/cultural analysis is only covering up the real problem which needs to be confronted.

    So this is why i am pessimistic. I fear the West cannot dig down to the real debate and will remain searching for a solution in the wrong locale, the superstructure. We have framed the world and see it through incomplete lens. 2D not 3D.

    Now my New Year wish for OutsideIn. OutsideIn is the divided self looking in at itself. It is the suicidal addict who in killing the addict within kills himself/herself. It is Umar with two totally conflicting philosophies eating his heart out. It is the couple locked in a horrendous divorce where both are destined to continue shouting at each other at cross purposes. It is the 20 kilo woman who desperately wants to lose wight but cannot stop eating chocolate. It is the newly trangendered woman crying in the night after having her genitalia surgically removed.

    They are all Umars. And their problems are not going to be solved in economic fora or social development conferences. But they are truly OutsideIn.

    Could I ask your blog to throw in a few of those debates in 2010.

    And I think the Umar debate is one of those, whether accidentally or on purpose. So despite his pain, what a good way to launch your blog in 2010. Or am I writing on the wrong blog?.

    Patrick

    Bangkok

    Comment by Patrick Hennessy
    5.
    January 5, 2010
    11:43 am

    Zimbabwe was a very prosperous country when it was run well and there was a rule of law. The IMF was not the problem in Zimbabwe. The problem was Mugabe and land grabs. Why don’t you point the finger where it belongs, a country like Zimbabwe going from such a good place to hell on earth and all down to one man. Just one of many such awful rulers that has have dogged africa since independence.

    Comment by margaret
    6.
    January 5, 2010
    2:34 pm

    Welcome back Bryan, and a happy new year to you and your readers.

    Welcome to the club. The human race is a mess–en masse, that is. Great individuals here and there. Great art, music, literature. Find it, enjoy it, but don’t expect your fellow citizens to use their cerebral capacities to overcome their brain-stems, or to overcome their lethargy and actually agree on how to better the world.

    On specifics–Michael Scheuer is an ex-CIA agent who wrote his first book while still serving, and so he authored it as “Anonymous.” He’s a bit of a sore head because he hasn’t been listened to very much, but he’s dead right about what gets Muslims angry at America. And most Americans don’t care to know. It’s easier to talk about nuking whole countries.

    As for billions spent on scanners–did you see the incident at Newark Airport recently? Some dolt walked through a security gate the wrong way, into a secure area, bypassing screening. Unnoticed by the security staff; reported by a worried passenger. The whole terminal was evacuated, and flights delayed or cancelled. Scanners side by side with gates that open the wrong way–unnoticed!

    As for Cuba’s designation as a sponsor of terror–that has nothing to do with attacking America: Cuba has exported violence for decades. I look forward to being able to visit Cuba before long, and before it once more degenerates into a Mafia playground of whores and gamblers. Meanwhile, they have a great health-care system there.

    And anyoine who thought a Democratic president could turn the Pentagon or the CIA onto a really new course, needed, and is getting, a lesson in reality. Notice how the Yemen war was marketed? Petreus went there first. Joe Lieberman warned about it, having been chosen as the right shill. (Joe’s lingo is great–”Yemen will be tomorrow’s war, unless we strike pre-emptively.” That is, it will be tomorrow’s war unless we make it today’s war. And not a peep from the media.)

    Tune in, turn up the volume, and enjoy the music.

    .

    Comment by DesJay
    7.
    January 5, 2010
    5:13 pm

    When things are down , the only way to look is up. The days of free rides are over. On the Bush jr. crusades are not only wrong from day one but will never suceed. Thoes that join in will have new trouble to deal with. On air travel, full body scan is a must. Thoes that refuse can get different transportation. Really, what does their body have that so different from another body of the same sex? So many people must be brought up in such a strange way to put so much shame on a human body. People must obtain better econmics and information in the times to come and speak out to the correct people when nessary. Just like the sexual child abuse cases of Ireland, thoes that do not want to hear of them and look the other way are a big part of the problem. I bet their tune whould change at a drop of a hat if it was their child. Prople of Ireland, wake up for this new decade for it will be a ruff one if you set on your hands.

    Comment by Patrick
    8.
    January 5, 2010
    10:22 pm

    It’s high time we took airport security seriously. We can start by jailing members of the Slovakian government for putting bombs on planes.

    Comment by Hugh
    9.
    January 6, 2010
    12:42 am

    David – We’re a pretty tolerant paper. I’ll be fine here long after I’d have got the axe elsewhere. And by the way, So we are sure to get strings of articles about what are the best tactics to hunt down suspects in Yemen…
    … good call!

    Betterworld Now – That’s got to be one of the best comments I’ve ever read. I can feel your anguish. When I saw Cuba on that list I thought, that’s it, we’re doomed. Who’s next?
    You might find this interesting: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/discussion/2009/12/29/DI2009122901812.html

    Liam – I completely agree. Who knows, I might make a habit of it this year. Or not!

    Patrick Hennessy – I’m not sure where to start. I suppose the first thing is to say, “Thank you.” I completely agree. I think you’re dead right and I’m grateful for the fact that you’ve broached a subject I didn’t know how to tackle.

    Like you, I don’t think Abdulmutallab did what he did for racial, religious or economic reasons. I think those things created a powerful backdrop, and lent credence to the ideas he eventually adopted, but to reduce his actions to some simplistic reason would be silly. No, don’t think there’s very much that separates him from the average nominal Catholic twenty something in Dublin.

    So, what to do about your request? It will probably go down like a lead balloon, but I’m going to announce on Thursday the resumption of the Thursday bookclub on this blog. I’d like to go through Charles Taylor’s Sources of the Self, starting at the end of the month. I’m hoping that will lead to a series of discussions on core issues, like identity, modernity, and just a better appreciation of the world we live in today.

    What do you think?

    Margaret – that’s like saying Ireland was rich once upon a time and FF wrecked it. Or global instability today is the result of Bush’s presidency, or people who eat their greens grow tall. Very few things in life are that simplistic.

    DesJay – Thank you, it’s great to be back.

    I wasn’t expecting U-turns, but I was hoping for real attempts at something different. Sticking Cuba onto that list smacks of political opportunism to me. No, not opportunism. Simple playing politics. Cuba is supposed to be some monstrous threat so let’s play to the portion of the electorate that buy that nonsense and reinforce that idea? But what really gets me is that there hasn’t been a domestic uproar. There have been some comments, but no uproar.

    Patrick – I think the body scanners are a huge scam. The emperor not wearing clothes, so to speak. The idea is that if you’re scrutinised, down to every contour on your body, then you’ll be safe? What is some expert realises that the only way to keep people safe on planes is a full body cavity search? Think about it, if you wanted to blow up a plane, wouldn’t you be working on a bomb you could stick up a cavity? So should we pr- empt the bad guys and subject all air passengers to full cavity searches?

    Hugh – That story is crazy, isn’t it?

    Comment by Bryan
    10.
    January 6, 2010
    11:39 pm

    Ah Yes ! The same old cynical rant from Bryan! Bit predictable at this stage man dont you think? I could easily write Bryans blog and noone would know the difference.Lets see ,The history of colonialism is still the problem with Africa,Those nasty white eyes!Nasty french,Dutch,Brits .The world is being destroyed by the world bank and the nasty usually white westeners blah blah blah .Margeret is correct in what she says and Bryan is still playing the race card even if he is himself an anti white westener,anti irish racist who hides behind the political liberal Irish times patronage

    Comment by Festus Kelly
    11.
    January 7, 2010
    1:47 am

    Two CIA-trained bombers, Luis Posada and Orlando Bosch invented the airline bomb way back in 1976.

    They used a tube of toothpaste to hide the detonator and a can of soda to hide the plastic explosive. Their accomplice carried the bomb on board the aircraft in Guyana in his hand luggage. He inserted the detonator into the soda can and attached the timer in the toilet of the aircraft and then dropped it into the refuse slot. He then disembarked at the next scheduled stop in Barbados. The aircraft with 73 people onboard was blown out of the sky 10 minutes after taking off from Barbados. There were no survivors.

    Bosch was classified by the US INS as the most dangerous terrorist in the western world and denied a visa to enter the USA. An un-named White House official, maybe even the US president, over-ruled the INS. The record shows that George Bush (Snr), on his last day in office, granted Bosch a pardon and he lives freely in Miami today. The USA refuses to extradite him to face charges of terrorism.

    Posada is a convicted terrorist who has managed to escape from jail twice. He is currently fugitive from justice in Panama and is also wanted to face terrorist charges in Venezuela where he was once employed by a former military dictatorship as an interrogator and torturer (he was also Oliver North’s point man in Honduras during the Iran-Contra drug smuggling affair). He was caught red-handed with a bomb in Panama in 1993, tried there and convicted of terrorist offenses. He managed to escape from jail and turned up in Miami some days later to be greeted by a jubilant cheering crowd of supporters. The USA has refused to extradite him or try him for any terrorist offence.

    Clearly some terrorists are worthy of harbouring.

    Now, can we really trust any US president to keep terrorists out of the USA?

    For full details Google “Twilight of the Assassins” by Ann Louise Bardach

    Comment by Betterworld Now
    12.
    January 7, 2010
    2:37 pm

    Festus – he is himself an anti white westener,anti irish racist who hides behind the political liberal Irish times patronage.

    Mate, that’s funny! I’ve been called a few things, but both anti-white Westerner and anti-Irish racist are definitely new. About being able to write my blog, if you can really do that we should talk :-)

    Betterworld Now – Thanks for that. I had no idea. Why do you suppose that is? How is it that enough people repeat the same narrative about geo-politics that most of us accept silly notions – like a ragtag group of disaffected people in the middle-east are a credible threat to the most powerful empire in man’s history – without questioning?

    Comment by Bryan
    13.
    January 7, 2010
    5:32 pm

    Have it your way BRIAN. Bend over please.

    Comment by Patrick
    14.
    January 9, 2010
    3:34 pm

    Great article, well written and very relevant. It summed up the attitude that started it all. America gets bombed and instead of asking why the hell would someone want to bomb them, they immediately invade the country, killing lots of innocents in the process. Not to mention the oil-motivated Kuwait war and the ‘weapons of mass destruction’ cop-out.

    Unfortunately, America missed a great opportunity of stopping this cycle of violence right at its inception. I’m not advocating an unconditional Gandhi-like stance but, more often than not, violence only breeds more violence. They had previous wars to learn their lessons and failed to do so.

    Then again, this is a much deeper issue, that goes back to Cold War and further to the very human obsession with power and control.

    And by jeeeesus, festus kelly and margaret, you have the right to an opinion but please go read a bit about the world first.

    Comment by roderico
    15.
    January 10, 2010
    8:45 am

    Why is it that the mainstream medta are not pressing to see the video from Amsterdam airport where Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab got on the plane, without going through security? He was taken onto the plane by a well gentleman who told airline officials to let UFA onto the plane without a passport because he was a refugee.
    This information is available from other passenger who witnessed this happening!

    Where is the security video from Amsterdam?
    Why haven’t we seen it?

    Do people realise that if they give in to totalitarian surveilance technology by way of naked body scanners that the next step is taser bracelets or even drugging of passengers during the length of their flights?

    You need to wake up!

    Comment by Neil
    16.
    January 11, 2010
    9:55 am

    This guy was led onto the plane by a guy in a suit. He did not go through security and was allowed to board the plane WITHOUT A PASSPORT! This is from EYEWITNESSES!
    The media is lying to you. The introduction of NAKED BODY SCANNERS is just another step towards the totalitarian Orwellian police state!

    WAKE UP!

    Comment by Neil

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